Evidence mapPaperPMID 36038183Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2022

Residual disease after primary surgery for advanced epithelial ovarian cancer: expert elicitation exercise to explore opinions about potential impact of publication bias in a planned systematic review and meta-analysis.

Andrew Bryant, Michael Grayling, Shaun Hiu, Ketankumar Gajjar, Eugenie Johnson, Ahmed Elattar, Luke Vale, Dawn Craig, Raj Naik

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Andrew BryantPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK andy.bryant@ncl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-4351-8865
Michael GraylingPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Shaun HiuPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Ketankumar GajjarObstetrics and Gynaecology, Nottingham City Hospital, Nottingham, UK.
Eugenie JohnsonPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Ahmed ElattarPan-Birmingham Gynaecological Oncology Cancer Centre, Sandwell and West Birmingham Hospitals NHS Trust, Birmingham, UK.
Luke ValePopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Dawn CraigPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Raj NaikNorthern Gynaecological Oncology Centre, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Gateshead, UK.
Newcastle University · GBNottingham City Hospital · GBQueen Elizabeth Hospital · GBSandwell & West Birmingham Hospitals NHS Trust · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesWe consider expert opinion and its incorporation into a planned meta-analysis as a way of adjusting for anticipated publication bias. We conduct an elicitation exercise among eligible British Gynaecological Cancer Society (BGCS) members with expertise in gynaecology.

designExpert elicitation exercise.

settingBGCS.

participantsMembers of the BGCS with expertise in gynaecology.

methodsExperts were presented with details of a planned prospective systematic review and meta-analysis, assessing overall survival for the extent of excision of residual disease (RD) after primary surgery for advanced epithelial ovarian cancer. Participants were asked views on the likelihood of different studies (varied in the size of the study population and the RD thresholds being compared) not being published. Descriptive statistics were produced and opinions on total number of missing studies by sample size and magnitude of effect size estimated.

resultsEighteen expert respondents were included. Responders perceived publication bias to be a possibility for comparisons of RD <1 cm versus RD=0 cm, but more so for comparisons involving higher volume suboptimal RD thresholds. However, experts' perceived publication bias in comparisons of RD=0 cm versus suboptimal RD thresholds did not translate into many elicited missing studies in Part B of the elicitation exercise. The median number of missing studies estimated by responders for the main comparison of RD<1 cm versus RD=0 cm was 10 (IQR: 5-20), with the number of missing studies influenced by whether the effect size was equivocal. The median number of missing studies estimated for suboptimal RD versus RD=0 cm was lower.

conclusionsThe results may raise awareness that a degree of scepticism is needed when reviewing studies comparing RD <1 cm versus RD=0 cm. There is also a belief among respondents that comparisons involving RD=0 cm and suboptimal thresholds (>1 cm) are likely to be impacted by publication bias, but this is unlikely to attenuate effect estimates in meta-analyses.

Indexed as

Ovarian NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Ovarian EpithelialFemaleHumansNeoplasm, ResidualProspective StudiesPublication BiasAdult surgeryGynaecological oncologySTATISTICS & RESEARCH METHODS

Identifiers

PMID36038183
PMCPMC9438036
OpenAlexW4293483784

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.