Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36240176›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Sero-surveillance for IgG to SARS-CoV-2 at antenatal care clinics in three Kenyan referral hospitals: Repeated cross-sectional surveys 2020-21.

Ruth K Lucinde, Daisy Mugo, Christian Bottomley, Angela Karani, Elizabeth Gardiner, Rabia Aziza, John N Gitonga, Henry Karanja, James Nyagwange, James Tuju and 32 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

42 authors.

Ruth K LucindeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Daisy MugoKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Christian BottomleyDepartment of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Angela KaraniKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Elizabeth GardinerKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Rabia AzizaSchool of Life Sciences and the Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology & Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research (SBIDER), University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3461-2622
John N GitongaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Henry KaranjaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
James NyagwangeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
James TujuKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Perpetual WanjikuKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Edward NzomoKilifi County Hospital, Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Evans KamuriKenyatta National Hospital, Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Kaugiria ThuraniraKenyatta National Hospital, Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Sarah AgundaKenyatta National Hospital, Ministry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Gideon NyutuKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Anthony O EtyangKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Ifedayo M O AdetifaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Eunice KaguciaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Sophie UyogaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Mark OtiendeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Edward OtienoKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Leonard NdwigaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Charles N AgotiKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Rashid A AmanMinistry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Mercy MwangangiMinistry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Patrick AmothMinistry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Kadondi KaseraMinistry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Amek NyaguaraKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Wangari Ng'ang'aPresidential Policy and Strategy Unit, The Presidency, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Lucy B OcholaInstitute of Primate Research, Nairobi, Kenya.
Emukule NamdalaBusia Country Teaching & Referral Hospital, Busia, Kenya.
Oscar GaunyaBusia Country Teaching & Referral Hospital, Busia, Kenya.
Rosemary OkukuBusia Country Teaching & Referral Hospital, Busia, Kenya.
Edwine BarasaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Philip BejonKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Benjamin TsofaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
L Isabella Ochola-OyierKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
George M WarimweKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Ambrose AgweyuKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
J Anthony G ScottKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Katherine E GallagherKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-5604-7647

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation INV-017547Department of Health 17/63/82EPA EP-C-15-003Medical Research Council MR/R006083/1Medical Research Council MR/R010161/1Medical Research Council MR/S005293/1NIH HHS HHSN272201400008CWellcome TrustWellcome Trust 107568/Z/15/ZWellcome Trust 203077/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 220985/Z/20/ZWellcome Trust 220991/Z/20/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe high proportion of SARS-CoV-2 infections that have remained undetected presents a challenge to tracking the progress of the pandemic and estimating the extent of population immunity.

methodsWe used residual blood samples from women attending antenatal care services at three hospitals in Kenya between August 2020 and October 2021and a validated IgG ELISA for SARS-Cov-2 spike protein and adjusted the results for assay sensitivity and specificity. We fitted a two-component mixture model as an alternative to the threshold analysis to estimate of the proportion of individuals with past SARS-CoV-2 infection.

resultsWe estimated seroprevalence in 2,981 women; 706 in Nairobi, 567 in Busia and 1,708 in Kilifi. By October 2021, 13% of participants were vaccinated (at least one dose) in Nairobi, 2% in Busia. Adjusted seroprevalence rose in all sites; from 50% (95%CI 42-58) in August 2020, to 85% (95%CI 78-92) in October 2021 in Nairobi; from 31% (95%CI 25-37) in May 2021 to 71% (95%CI 64-77) in October 2021 in Busia; and from 1% (95% CI 0-3) in September 2020 to 63% (95% CI 56-69) in October 2021 in Kilifi. Mixture modelling, suggests adjusted cross-sectional prevalence estimates are underestimates; seroprevalence in October 2021 could be 74% in Busia and 72% in Kilifi.

conclusionsThere has been substantial, unobserved transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Nairobi, Busia and Kilifi Counties. Due to the length of time since the beginning of the pandemic, repeated cross-sectional surveys are now difficult to interpret without the use of models to account for antibody waning.

Indexed as

COVID-19Pregnancy Complications, InfectiousAntibodies, ViralCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHospitalsHumansImmunoglobulin GKenyaPregnancyPrenatal CareReferral and ConsultationSARS-CoV-2Seroepidemiologic StudiesSpike Glycoprotein, CoronavirusAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin GSpike Glycoprotein, Coronavirusspike protein, SARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID36240176
PMCPMC9565697

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.