Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36250793›Full record

ArticleG3 (Bethesda, Md.)2022

Accurate modeling of replication rates in genome-wide association studies by accounting for Winner's Curse and study-specific heterogeneity.

Jennifer Zou, Jinjing Zhou, Sarah Faller, Robert P Brown, Sriram S Sankararaman, Eleazar Eskin

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in G3 (Bethesda, Md.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Association Between Genetic Variants inDiagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jennifer ZouComputer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Jinjing ZhouComputer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Sarah FallerComputer Science Department, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Robert P BrownComputer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Sriram S SankararamanComputer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Eleazar EskinComputer Science Department, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
University of California, Los Angeles · USDuke University · US

Funding

Statistical Models for Dissecting Human Population Admixture and its Role in Evolution and DiseaseR35GM125055 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SANKARARAMAN, SRIRAM · 2017 to 2021
$1.6M
The pursuit of genetic causal mechanismsR56HG010812 · NHGRI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI SABATTI, CHIARA · 2021 to 2022
$875k
NHGRI NIH HHS R56 HG010812NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM125055
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified thousands of genetic variants associated with complex human traits, but only a fraction of variants identified in discovery studies achieve significance in replication studies. Replication in genome-wide association studies has been well-studied in the context of Winner's Curse, which is the inflation of effect size estimates for significant variants due to statistical chance. However, Winner's Curse is often not sufficient to explain lack of replication. Another reason why studies fail to replicate is that there are fundamental differences between the discovery and replication studies. A confounding factor can create the appearance of a significant finding while actually being an artifact that will not replicate in future studies. We propose a statistical framework that utilizes genome-wide association studies and replication studies to jointly model Winner's Curse and study-specific heterogeneity due to confounding factors. We apply this framework to 100 genome-wide association studies from the Human Genome-Wide Association Studies Catalog and observe that there is a large range in the level of estimated confounding. We demonstrate how this framework can be used to distinguish when studies fail to replicate due to statistical noise and when they fail due to confounding.

Indexed as

Genome-Wide Association StudyPolymorphism, Single NucleotideGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansMultifactorial Inheritanceconfoundinggenome-wide association study (GWAS)replicationWinner’s Curse

Identifiers

PMID36250793
PMCPMC9713380
OpenAlexW4306644008

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.