Evidence mapPaperPMID 36344932Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2022

Prediction of SYNTAX score II improvement by adding temporal heart rate changes between discharge and first outpatient visit in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

Chuang Li, Wanjing Zhang, Yixing Yang, Qian Zhang, Kuibao Li, Mulei Chen, Lefeng Wang, Kun Xia

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 38% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Chuang Li *Heart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China.
Wanjing Zhang *Heart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China.
Yixing Yang *Heart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China.
Qian ZhangHeart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China.
Kuibao LiHeart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China.
Mulei ChenHeart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China.
Lefeng WangHeart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China. wlf311@126.com.
Kun XiaHeart Center and Beijing Key Laboratory of Hypertension, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, 8# Gong-Ti South Road, Beijing, 10020, China. dctxiakun@sohu.com.
Capital Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe prognostic ability of the temporal changes in resting heart rate (ΔHR) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) for cardiovascular (CV) mortality and clinical outcomes is rarely examined. This study investigated the predictive value of ΔHR using models with SYNTAX score II (SxS-II) for the long-term prognosis of patients with AMI.

methodsSix hundred five AMI patients with vital signs recorded at the first outpatient visit (2-4 weeks after discharge) were retrospectively recruited into this study. The changes between discharge and outpatient resting heart rate (D-O ΔHR) were calculated by subtracting the HR at the first post-discharge visit from the value recorded at discharge. The major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) include cardiovascular death, recurrent myocardial infarction, revascularization, and nonfatal stroke. The predictive values and reclassification ability of the different models were assessed using a likelihood ratio test, Akaike's information criteria (AIC), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

resultsDuring the follow-up period, a drop-in resting heart rate (RHR) from discharge to first outpatient visit was independently associated with less risk of CV mortality [D-O ΔHR: hazards ratio (HR) = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.96-0.99, P < 0.001] and MACCE (HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.97-0.99, p = 0.001). The likelihood test indicated that the combined model of SxS-II and D-O ΔHR yielded the lowest AIC for CV mortality and MACCE (P < 0.001). Moreover, D-O ΔHR alone significantly improved the net reclassification and integrated discrimination of the models containing SxS-II for CV mortality and MACCE (CV mortality: NRI = 0.5600, P = 0.001 and IDI = 0.0759, P = 0.03; MACCE: NRI = 0.2231, P < 0.05 and IDI = 0.0107, P < 0.05).

conclusionsThe change in D-O ΔHR was an independent predictor of long-term CV mortality and MACCE. The D-O ΔHR combined with SxS-II could significantly improve its predictive probability.

Indexed as

Myocardial InfarctionPatient DischargeAftercareHeart RateHumansOutpatientsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAcute myocardial infarctionMajor adverse cardiovascular eventsSYNTAX scoreTemporal changes in resting heart rate

Identifiers

PMID36344932
PMCPMC9641850
OpenAlexW4308593373

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.