Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36445619›Full record

ArticleEndocrine2023

The prognostic utility of serum thyrotropin in hospitalized Covid-19 patients: statistical and machine learning approaches.

E Pappa, P Gourna, G Galatas, M Manti, A Romiou, L Panagiotou, R Chatzikyriakou, N Trakas, G Feretzakis, C Christopoulos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Endocrine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

E PappaFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece. pappaefi@yahoo.gr.ORCID 0000-0002-2925-9679
P GournaFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
G GalatasFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
M MantiFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
A RomiouFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
L PanagiotouFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
R ChatzikyriakouDepartment of Hematology, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
N TrakasDepartment of Biochemistry, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.
G FeretzakisSchool of Science and Technology, Hellenic Open University, Patras, 26335, Greece.
C ChristopoulosFirst Department of Internal Medicine, "Sismanoglio-A. Fleming" General Hospital, Athens, 15126, Greece.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo assess the prognostic value of serum TSH in Greek patients with COVID-19 and compare it with that of commonly used prognostic biomarkers.

methodsRetrospective study of 128 COVID-19 in patients with no history of thyroid disease. Serum TSH, albumin, CRP, ferritin, and D-dimers were measured at admission. Outcomes were classified as "favorable" (discharge from hospital) and "adverse" (intubation or in-hospital death of any cause). The prognostic performance of TSH and other indices was assessed using binary logistic regression, machine learning classifiers, and ROC curve analysis.

resultsPatients with adverse outcomes had significantly lower TSH compared to those with favorable outcomes (0.61 versus 1.09 mIU/L, p < 0.001). Binary logistic regression with sex, age, TSH, albumin, CRP, ferritin, and D-dimers as covariates showed that only albumin (p < 0.001) and TSH (p = 0.006) were significantly predictive of the outcome. Serum TSH below the optimal cut-off value of 0.5 mIU/L was associated with an odds ratio of 4.13 (95% C.I.: 1.41-12.05) for adverse outcome. Artificial neural network analysis showed that the prognostic importance of TSH was second only to that of albumin. However, the prognostic accuracy of low TSH was limited, with an AUC of 69.5%, compared to albumin's 86.9%. A Naïve Bayes classifier based on the combination of serum albumin and TSH levels achieved high prognostic accuracy (AUC 99.2%).

conclusionLow serum TSH is independently associated with adverse outcome in hospitalized Greek patients with COVID-19 but its prognostic utility is limited. The integration of serum TSH into machine learning classifiers in combination with other biomarkers enables outcome prediction with high accuracy.

Indexed as

COVID-19ThyrotropinBayes TheoremBiomarkersHospital MortalityHumansMachine LearningPrognosisRetrospective StudiesBiomarkersThyrotropinArtificial intelligenceBayes classifierCOVID-19Machine learningNon-thyroidal illness syndromeThyroid stimulating hormone

Identifiers

PMID36445619
PMCPMC9707250

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.