Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36455989›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2022

Long-lasting insecticidal nets provide protection against malaria for only a single year in Burundi, an African highland setting with marked malaria seasonality.

Wim Van Bortel, Joachim Mariën, Bart K M Jacobs, Denis Sinzinkayo, Pierre Sinarinzi, Emmanuel Lampaert, Rob D'hondt, Jean-Marie Mafuko, Anja De Weggheleire, Florian Vogt and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Wim Van Bortel *Outbreak Research Team, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium wvanbortel@itg.be.ORCID 0000-0002-6644-518X
Joachim Mariën *Outbreak Research Team, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.
Bart K M JacobsDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-4677-0911
Denis SinzinkayoNational Malaria Control Programme, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Pierre SinarinziNational Malaria Control Programme, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Emmanuel LampaertDepartment of Operations - Central African Regional Support Team, Médecins Sans Frontières, Kinshasa, Congo (the Democratic Republic of the).
Rob D'hondtMedical Department, Environmental Health Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Brussels, Belgium.
Jean-Marie MafukoDepartment of Operations, Médecins Sans Frontières, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Anja De WeggheleireOutbreak Research Team, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-9377-4766
Florian VogtOutbreak Research Team, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.
Neil AlexanderEnvironmental Research Group Oxford Ltd, c/o Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
William WintEnvironmental Research Group Oxford Ltd, c/o Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Peter MaesChief of WASH (Water,Sanitation and Hygiene), UNICEF, Kinshasa, Congo (the Democratic Republic of the).
Veerle VanlerbergheTropical Infectious Diseases Group, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerpen, Belgium.
Corey LeclairMedical Department, Environmental Health Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Brussels, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) are one of the key interventions in the global fight against malaria. Since 2014, mass distribution campaigns of LLINs aim for universal access by all citizens of Burundi. In this context, we assess the impact of LLINs mass distribution campaigns on malaria incidence, focusing on the endemic highland health districts. We also explored the possible correlation between observed trends in malaria incidence with any variations in climate conditions.

methodsMalaria cases for 2011-2019 were obtained from the National Health Information System. We developed a generalised additive model based on a time series of routinely collected data with malaria incidence as the response variable and timing of LLIN distribution as an explanatory variable to investigate the duration and magnitude of the LLIN effect on malaria incidence. We added a seasonal and continuous-time component as further explanatory variables, and health district as a random effect to account for random natural variation in malaria cases between districts.

resultsMalaria transmission in Burundian highlands was clearly seasonal and increased non-linearly over the study period. Further, a fast and steep decline of malaria incidence was noted during the first year after mass LLIN distribution (p<0.0001). In years 2 and 3 after distribution, malaria cases started to rise again to levels higher than before the control intervention.

conclusionThis study highlights that LLINs did reduce the incidence in the first year after a mass distribution campaign, but in the context of Burundi, LLINs lost their impact after only 1 year.

Indexed as

Health Information SystemsInsecticidesMalariaBurundiHumansTime FactorsInsecticidesControl strategiesDescriptive studyEpidemiologyMalaria

Identifiers

PMID36455989
PMCPMC9772646

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.