Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36509784›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Molecular models of multiple sclerosis severity identify heterogeneity of pathogenic mechanisms.

Peter Kosa, Christopher Barbour, Mihael Varosanec, Alison Wichman, Mary Sandford, Mark Greenwood, Bibiana Bielekova

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. CSF Proteins Associated With Neuroaxonal Damage in Early Active Multiple Sclerosis.Neurology(R) neuroimmunology & neuroinflammation · 2026
    Article
  4. Rethinking MS Therapeutics: From Disease Pathogenesis Mechanisms to AI-Driven Drug Discovery.Journal of neuroimmune pharmacology : the official journal of the Society on NeuroImmune Pharmacology · 2026
    Review
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  16. Drug library screen identifies inhibitors of toxic astrogliosis.Multiple sclerosis and related disorders · 2022
    Article
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  18. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Peter Kosa *Neuroimmunological Diseases Section, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Christopher Barbour *Neuroimmunological Diseases Section, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Mihael VarosanecNeuroimmunological Diseases Section, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Alison WichmanNeuroimmunological Diseases Section, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Mary SandfordNeuroimmunological Diseases Section, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Mark GreenwoodDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT, USA.
Bibiana BielekovaNeuroimmunological Diseases Section, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA. bibi.bielekova@nih.gov.ORCID 0000-0002-0959-9430
National Institutes of Health · USMontana State University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

While autopsy studies identify many abnormalities in the central nervous system (CNS) of subjects dying with neurological diseases, without their quantification in living subjects across the lifespan, pathogenic processes cannot be differentiated from epiphenomena. Using machine learning (ML), we searched for likely pathogenic mechanisms of multiple sclerosis (MS). We aggregated cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers from 1305 proteins, measured blindly in the training dataset of untreated MS patients (N = 129), into models that predict past and future speed of disability accumulation across all MS phenotypes. Healthy volunteers (N = 24) data differentiated natural aging and sex effects from MS-related mechanisms. Resulting models, validated (Rho 0.40-0.51, p < 0.0001) in an independent longitudinal cohort (N = 98), uncovered intra-individual molecular heterogeneity. While candidate pathogenic processes must be validated in successful clinical trials, measuring them in living people will enable screening drugs for desired pharmacodynamic effects. This will facilitate drug development making, it hopefully more efficient and successful.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisNervous System DiseasesBiomarkersHumansModels, MolecularBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID36509784
PMCPMC9744737
OpenAlexW4311586381

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.