Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36596818›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Incidence and risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with chronic pancreatitis: defining the optimal subgroup for surveillance.

Hyo Suk Kim, Tae-Geun Gweon, Sang Hi Park, Tae Ho Kim, Chang Whan Kim, Jae Hyuck Chang

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
7.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  4. Observational
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  8. Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Inflammatory Pancreatic Diseases.The Korean journal of gastroenterology = Taehan Sohwagi Hakhoe chi · 2025
    Review
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  20. The Past and Future of Inflammation as a Target to Cancer Prevention.Cancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Hyo Suk KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Tae-Geun GweonDepartment of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Sang Hi ParkInstitute of Clinical Medicine Research, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Bucheon, Korea.
Tae Ho KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Chang Whan KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Jae Hyuck ChangDepartment of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea. wwjjaang@catholic.ac.kr.
Catholic University of Korea · KRThe Catholic University of Korea Bucheon St. Mary's Hospital · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We aimed to present the incidence and risk factors for pancreatic cancer in a multicenter retrospective cohort of patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP). Patients with ICD-10 codes for CP (K86.0, K86.1) who underwent abdominal CT or MRI between January 2010 and December 2021 in seven academic hospitals were analyzed. After exclusions, we identified 727 patients with definite CP with a median follow-up of 3.6 years (range 1.0‒12.9). During 3290 person-years of observation, pancreatic cancers were diagnosed in 16 patients (2.20%, 0.49% per year) after a median follow-up of 2.4 years (range 1.4‒6.6), with an age- and sex-standardized incidence ratio of 18.1 (95% CI 10.4‒29.5). The underlying CPs in the 16 pancreatic cancers were classified as chronic obstructive pancreatitis (10, 63%), chronic obstructive and calcifying pancreatitis (4, 25%), chronic calcifying pancreatitis (1, 6%), and autoimmune pancreatitis (1, 6%). Factors associated with pancreatic cancer development included age (HR 4.830, p = 0.006), parenchymal calcification (HR 0.213, p = 0.003), pancreatic duct stricture (HR 2.706, p = 0.048), and serum CA 19‒9 level (HR 3.567, p = 0.014). After adjustment, age over 60 years (HR 4.540, p = 0.009) and serum CA 19‒9 levels greater than 100 U/mL (HR 3.528, p = 0.015) were independent risk factors for pancreatic cancer.

Indexed as

Pancreatic NeoplasmsPancreatitis, ChronicHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID36596818
PMCPMC9810784
OpenAlexW4313528089

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.