Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36691171›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2022

Analysing 11 years of incidence trends, clinicopathological characteristics, and forecasts of colorectal cancer in young and old patients: a retrospective cross-sectional study in an Indonesian national referral hospital.

Nur Rahadiani, Muhammad Habiburrahman, Murdani Abdullah, Wifanto Saditya Jeo, Marini Stephanie, Diah Rini Handjari, Ening Krisnuhoni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nur RahadianiFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia nur.rahadiani@ui.ac.id.ORCID 0000-0003-2342-8133
Muhammad HabiburrahmanFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia.ORCID 0000-0001-6372-8240
Murdani AbdullahFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia.
Wifanto Saditya JeoFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia.
Marini StephanieFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia.
Diah Rini HandjariFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia.
Ening KrisnuhoniFaculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Central Jakarta, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo obtain annual incidence trends, understand clinicopathological characteristics, and forecast the future burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Indonesia.

design11-year retrospective cross-sectional study.

settingA national referral hospital in Jakarta, Indonesia.

participantsData from 1584 eligible cases were recorded for trends and forecasting analyses; 433 samples were analysed to determine clinicopathological differences between young (<50 years) and old (≥50 years) patients.

methodsTrend analyses were done using Joinpoint software, expressed in annual percentage change (APC), and a regression analysis was executed to generate a forecasting model. Patients' characteristics were compared using χ MAIN OUTCOMES: Analysis of trends, forecasting model, and clinicopathological features between the age groups.

resultsA significant increase in APC was observed among old patients (+2.38%) for CRC cases. Colon cancer increased remarkably (+9.24%) among young patients; rectal cancer trends were either stable or declining. The trend for right-sided CRC increased in the general population (+6.52%) and old patients (+6.57%), while the trend for left-sided CRC was stable. These cases are expected to be a significant health burden within the next 10 years. Patients had a mean age of 53.17±13.94, 38.1% were young, and the sex ratio was 1.21. Prominent characteristics were left-sided CRC, tumour size ≥5 cm, exophytic growth, adenocarcinoma, histologically low grade, pT3, pN0, inadequately dissected lymph nodes (LNs), LN ratio <0.05, no distant metastasis, early-stage cancer, no lymphovascular invasion, and no perineural invasion (PNI). Distinct features between young and old patients were found in the histological subtype, number of dissected LN, and PNI of the tumour.

conclusionsEpidemiological trends and forecasting analyses of CRC cases in Indonesian patients showed an enormous increase in colon cancer in young patients, a particularly concerning trend. Additionally, young patients exhibited particular clinicopathological characteristics that contributed to disease severity.

Indexed as

Colonic NeoplasmsColorectal NeoplasmsCross-Sectional StudiesHumansIncidenceIndonesiaRetrospective StudiesColorectal surgeryEPIDEMIOLOGYGastrointestinal tumoursONCOLOGYPATHOLOGY

Identifiers

PMID36691171
PMCPMC9454011

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.