ArticleChaos, solitons, and fractals2023
Competition of SARS-CoV-2 variants on the pandemic transmission dynamics.
Article in Chaos, solitons, and fractals, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Predicting the trend of SARS-CoV-2 mutation frequencies using historical data.Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) · 2025Article
- Unveiling the Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Gamma and Delta Waves in Paraná, Brazil - Delta Displacing a Persistent Gamma Through Alternative Routes of Dispersal.Journal of medical virology · 2025Article
- A natural ANI gap that can define intra-species units of bacteriophages and other viruses.mBio · 2024Article
- Genomic analysis of three SARS-CoV-2 waves in west Sumatra: Evolutionary dynamics and variant clustering.Heliyon · 2024Article
- SARS-CoV-2 lineages circulating during the first wave of the pandemic in North Sumatra, Indonesia.IJID regions · 2023Article
- Taking stock of the mutations in human SARS-CoV-2 spike proteins: From early days to nearly the end of COVID-19 pandemic.Current research in structural biology · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 has produced various variants during its ongoing evolution. The competitive behavior driven by the co-transmission of these variants has influenced the pandemic transmission dynamics. Therefore, studying the impact of competition between SARS-CoV-2 variants on pandemic transmission dynamics is of considerable practical importance. In order to formalize the mechanism of competition between SARS-CoV-2 variants, we propose an epidemic model that takes into account the co-transmission of competing variants. The model focuses on how cross-immunity influences the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through competitive mechanisms between strains. We found that inter-strain competition affects not only both the final size and the replacement time of the variants, but also the invasive behavior of new variants in the future. Due to the limited extent of cross-immunity in previous populations, we predict that the new strain may infect the largest number of individuals in China without control interventions. Moreover, we also observed the possibility of periodic outbreaks in the same lineage and the possibility of the resurgence of previous lineages. Without the invasion of a new variant, the previous variant (Delta variant) is projected to resurgence as early as 2023. However, its resurgence may be prevented by a new variant with a greater competitive advantage.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.