Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36862161›Full record

SynthesisDiabetologia2023

The utility of a type 2 diabetes polygenic score in addition to clinical variables for prediction of type 2 diabetes incidence in birth, youth and adult cohorts in an Indigenous study population.

Lauren E Wedekind, Anubha Mahajan, Wen-Chi Hsueh, Peng Chen, Muideen T Olaiya, Sayuko Kobes, Madhumita Sinha, Leslie J Baier, William C Knowler, Mark I McCarthy and 1 more

Open access · hybridFull text readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Diabetologia, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. ZJU Index as a Predictive Tool for Diabetes Incidence: Insights from a Population-Based Cohort Study.Diabetes, metabolic syndrome and obesity : targets and therapy · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 4 countries.

Lauren E WedekindPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA. Lauren.Wedekind@linacre.ox.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2154-9647
Anubha MahajanWellcome Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Wen-Chi HsuehPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Peng ChenPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Muideen T OlaiyaPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Sayuko KobesPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Madhumita SinhaPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Leslie J BaierPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
William C KnowlerPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
Mark I McCarthyWellcome Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Robert L HansonPhoenix Epidemiology and Clinical Research Branch, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
National Institutes of Health · USCentre for Human Genetics · GB

Funding

Genetic Epidemiology of Diabetic NephropathyZIADK069094 · NIDDK · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF DIABETES AND DIGESTIVE AND KIDNEY DISEASES · PI HANSON, ROBERT · 2009 to 2025
$7.7M
Genetic Epidemiology of Diabetes and ObesityZIADK069028 · NIDDK · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF DIABETES AND DIGESTIVE AND KIDNEY DISEASES · PI HANSON, ROBERT · 2009 to 2025
$7.5M
Identifying variants causal for Type 2 Diabetes in Major human populationsU01DK085545 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD · PI CHAN, JULIANA CN, EBRAHIM, SHAH BRIAN · 2009 to 2013
$2.8M
Integrating genome-scale data to reveal causal mechanisms in type 2 diabetesU01DK105535 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD · PI GLOYN, ANNA LOUISE · 2015 to 2019
$1.7M
National Institute for Health Research NF-SI-0617-10090NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085545NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK105535Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 203141
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisThere is limited information on how polygenic scores (PSs), based on variants from genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of type 2 diabetes, add to clinical variables in predicting type 2 diabetes incidence, particularly in non-European-ancestry populations.

methodsFor participants in a longitudinal study in an Indigenous population from the Southwestern USA with high type 2 diabetes prevalence, we analysed ten constructions of PS using publicly available GWAS summary statistics. Type 2 diabetes incidence was examined in three cohorts of individuals without diabetes at baseline. The adult cohort, 2333 participants followed from age ≥20 years, had 640 type 2 diabetes cases. The youth cohort included 2229 participants followed from age 5-19 years (228 cases). The birth cohort included 2894 participants followed from birth (438 cases). We assessed contributions of PSs and clinical variables in predicting type 2 diabetes incidence.

resultsOf the ten PS constructions, a PS using 293 genome-wide significant variants from a large type 2 diabetes GWAS meta-analysis in European-ancestry populations performed best. In the adult cohort, the AUC of the receiver operating characteristic curve for clinical variables for prediction of incident type 2 diabetes was 0.728; with the PS, 0.735. The PS's HR was 1.27 per SD (p=1.6 × 10 CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationThis study demonstrates that a European-derived PS contributes significantly to prediction of type 2 diabetes incidence in addition to information provided by clinical variables in this Indigenous study population. Discriminatory power of the PS was similar to that of other commonly measured clinical variables (e.g. HbA

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2AdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesRisk FactorsYoung AdultClinical predictionDecision curve analysisIncidence analysisPolygenic scoreType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID36862161
PMCPMC10036431
OpenAlexW4322757189

What Socratic holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read56
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.