Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36922616›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Fractal dimension based geographical clustering of COVID-19 time series data.

Yessika Adelwin Natalia, Christel Faes, Thomas Neyens, Pieter Chys, Naïma Hammami, Geert Molenberghs

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Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yessika Adelwin NataliaI-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, 3500, Hasselt, Belgium. yessikaadelwin.natalia@uhasselt.be.
Christel FaesI-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, 3500, Hasselt, Belgium.
Thomas NeyensI-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, 3500, Hasselt, Belgium.
Pieter ChysTeam Infection Prevention and Vaccination, Agency for Care and Health, 1030, Brussels, Belgium.
Naïma HammamiTeam Infection Prevention and Vaccination, Agency for Care and Health, 1030, Brussels, Belgium.
Geert MolenberghsI-BioStat, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, 3500, Hasselt, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the local dynamics of COVID-19 transmission calls for an approach that characterizes the incidence curve in a small geographical unit. Given that incidence curves exhibit considerable day-to-day variation, the fractal structure of the time series dynamics is investigated for the Flanders and Brussels Regions of Belgium. For each statistical sector, the smallest administrative geographical entity in Belgium, fractal dimensions of COVID-19 incidence rates, based on rolling time spans of 7, 14, and 21 days were estimated using four different estimators: box-count, Hall-Wood, variogram, and madogram. We found varying patterns of fractal dimensions across time and location. The fractal dimension is further summarized by its mean, variance, and autocorrelation over time. These summary statistics are then used to cluster regions with different incidence rate patterns using k-means clustering. Fractal dimension analysis of COVID-19 incidence thus offers important insight into the past, current, and arguably future evolution of an infectious disease outbreak.

Indexed as

COVID-19FractalsBelgiumGeographyHumansTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID36922616
PMCPMC10016183

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.