Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37229505›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes research2023

A Metabolism-Based Interpretable Machine Learning Prediction Model for Diabetic Retinopathy Risk: A Cross-Sectional Study in Chinese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Guo-Wei Zong, Wan-Ying Wang, Jun Zheng, Wei Zhang, Wei-Ming Luo, Zhong-Ze Fang, Qiang Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Guo-Wei ZongDepartment of Mathematics, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3711-4913
Wan-Ying WangTianjin Key Laboratory of Environment, Nutrition and Public Health, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-2864-5093
Jun ZhengDepartment of Geriatrics, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Geriatrics Institute, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0000-0613-0023
Wei ZhangDepartment of Toxicology and Sanitary Chemistry, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9428-3423
Wei-Ming LuoDepartment of Toxicology and Sanitary Chemistry, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-6554-815X
Zhong-Ze FangTianjin Key Laboratory of Environment, Nutrition and Public Health, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1113-9262
Qiang ZhangDepartment of Geriatrics, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Geriatrics Institute, Tianjin, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5686-9253
Tianjin Medical University · CNTianjin Medical University General Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The burden of diabetic retinopathy (DR) is increasing, and the sensitive biomarkers of the disease were not enough. Studies have found that the metabolic profile, such as amino acid (AA) and acylcarnitine (AcylCN), in the early stages of DR patients might have changed, indicating the potential of metabolites to become new biomarkers. We are amid to construct a metabolite-based prediction model for DR risk. This study was conducted on type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients with or without DR. Logistic regression and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) prediction models were constructed using the traditional clinical features and the screening features, respectively. Assessing the predictive power of the models in terms of both discrimination and calibration, the optimal model was interpreted using the Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to quantify the effect of features on prediction. Finally, the XGBoost model incorporating AA and AcylCN variables had the best comprehensive evaluation (ROCAUC = 0.82, PRAUC = 0.44, Brier score = 0.09). C18 : 1OH lower than 0.04

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diabetic RetinopathyCross-Sectional StudiesEast Asian PeopleHumansMachine LearningPhenylalanineThreonineTyrosinePhenylalanineThreonineTyrosine

Identifiers

PMID37229505
PMCPMC10205414
OpenAlexW4376955548

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.