Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37328754›Full record

Observational studyRespiratory research2023

A blood microRNA classifier for the prediction of ICU mortality in COVID-19 patients: a multicenter validation study.

David de Gonzalo-Calvo, Marta Molinero, Iván D Benítez, Manel Perez-Pons, Nadia García-Mateo, Alicia Ortega, Tamara Postigo, María C García-Hidalgo, Thalia Belmonte, Carlos Rodríguez-Muñoz and 36 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Respiratory research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Frontiers in immunology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

46 authors at 20 institutions in 1 country.

David de Gonzalo-CalvoTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Marta MolineroTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Iván D BenítezTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Manel Perez-PonsTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Nadia García-MateoGroup for Biomedical Research in Sepsis (BioSepsis), Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de Salamanca, (IBSAL), Gerencia Regional de Salud de Castilla y León, Salamanca, Spain.
Alicia OrtegaCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Tamara PostigoCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
María C García-HidalgoTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Thalia BelmonteTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Carlos Rodríguez-MuñozTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Jessica GonzálezTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Gerard TorresTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Clara Gort-PanielloTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Anna Moncusí-MoixTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Ángel EstellaDepartment of Medicine, Intensive Care Unit University Hospital of Jerez, University of Cádiz, INIBiCA, Cádiz, Spain.
Luis Tamayo LomasCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Amalia Martínez de la GándaraDepartment of Intensive Medicine, Hospital Universitario Infanta Leonor, Madrid, Spain.
Lorenzo SociasIntensive Care Unit, Hospital Son Llàtzer, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears, Spain.
Yhivian PeñascoServicio de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, Santander, Spain.
Maria Del Carmen de la TorreCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Elena Bustamante-MunguiraCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Elena Gallego CurtoCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Ignacio Martínez VarelaCritical Care Department, Hospital Universitario Lucus Augusti, Lugo, Spain.
María Cruz Martin DelgadoHospital Universitario Torrejón-Universidad Francisco de Vitoria, Madrid, Spain.
Pablo Vidal-CortésIntensive Care Unit, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Ourense, Ourense, Spain.
Juan López MessaComplejo Asistencial Universitario de Palencia, Palencia, Spain.
Felipe Pérez-GarcíaServicio de Microbiología Clínica, Facultad de Medicina, Departamento de Biomedicina y Biotecnología, Hospital Universitario Príncipe de Asturias - Universidad de Alcalá, Madrid, Spain.
Jesús CaballeroGrup de Recerca Medicina Intensiva, Intensive Care Department Hospital, Universitari Arnau de Vilanova, Lleida, Spain.
José M AñónCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Ana Loza-VázquezUnidad de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Virgen de Valme, Seville, Spain.
Nieves CarbonellIntensive Care Unit, Hospital Clínico y Universitario de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
Judith Marin-CorralCritical Care Department, Hospital del Mar-IMIM, Barcelona, Spain.
Ruth Noemí Jorge GarcíaIntensive Care Department, Hospital Nuestra Señora de Gracia, Zaragoza, Spain.
Carmen BarberàIntensive Care Department, University Hospital Santa María, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.
Adrián CeccatoCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Laia Fernández-BaratCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Ricard FerrerCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Dario Garcia-GasullaBarcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain.
Jose Ángel Lorente-BalanzaCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Rosario MenéndezCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Ana MotosCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Oscar PeñuelasCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Jordi RieraCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Jesús F Bermejo-MartinCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Antoni TorresCIBER of Respiratory Diseases (CIBERES), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Ferran BarbéTranslational Research in Respiratory Medicine, University Hospital Arnau de Vilanova and Santa Maria, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain. febarbe.lleida.ics@gencat.cat.
Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias · ESInstituto de Salud Carlos III · ESBiomedical Research Institute of Lleida · ESHospital Universitari Arnau de Vilanova · ESConsorci Institut D'Investigacions Biomediques August Pi I Sunyer · ESInstituto de Investigación Biomédica de Salamanca · ESBarcelona Supercomputing Center · ESComplejo Asistencial Universitario de Palencia · ESComplexo Hospitalario Universitario A Coruña · ESHospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia · ESHospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid · ESHospital Del Mar · ESHospital Nuestra Señora de Alarcos · ESHospital Son Llatzer · ESHospital Universitario de Getafe · ESHospital Universitario de Valme · ESHospital Universitario Infanta Leonor · ESHospital Universitario La Paz · ESHospital Universitario Lucus Augusti · ESMarqués de Valdecilla University Hospital · ES

Funding

CIBERES COV20/00110Instituto de Salud Carlos III CP20/00041
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe identification of critically ill COVID-19 patients at risk of fatal outcomes remains a challenge. Here, we first validated candidate microRNAs (miRNAs) as biomarkers for clinical decision-making in critically ill patients. Second, we constructed a blood miRNA classifier for the early prediction of adverse outcomes in the ICU.

methodsThis was a multicenter, observational and retrospective/prospective study including 503 critically ill patients admitted to the ICU from 19 hospitals. qPCR assays were performed in plasma samples collected within the first 48 h upon admission. A 16-miRNA panel was designed based on recently published data from our group.

resultsNine miRNAs were validated as biomarkers of all-cause in-ICU mortality in the independent cohort of critically ill patients (FDR < 0.05). Cox regression analysis revealed that low expression levels of eight miRNAs were associated with a higher risk of death (HR from 1.56 to 2.61). LASSO regression for variable selection was used to construct a miRNA classifier. A 4-blood miRNA signature composed of miR-16-5p, miR-192-5p, miR-323a-3p and miR-451a predicts the risk of all-cause in-ICU mortality (HR 2.5). Kaplan‒Meier analysis confirmed these findings. The miRNA signature provides a significant increase in the prognostic capacity of conventional scores, APACHE-II (C-index 0.71, DeLong test p-value 0.055) and SOFA (C-index 0.67, DeLong test p-value 0.001), and a risk model based on clinical predictors (C-index 0.74, DeLong test-p-value 0.035). For 28-day and 90-day mortality, the classifier also improved the prognostic value of APACHE-II, SOFA and the clinical model. The association between the classifier and mortality persisted even after multivariable adjustment. The functional analysis reported biological pathways involved in SARS-CoV infection and inflammatory, fibrotic and transcriptional pathways.

conclusionsA blood miRNA classifier improves the early prediction of fatal outcomes in critically ill COVID-19 patients.

Indexed as

COVID-19MicroRNAsBiomarkersCritical IllnessHumansIntensive Care UnitsProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesBiomarkersMicroRNAsBiomarkerCOVID-19ICUmicroRNAPrognosisSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID37328754
PMCPMC10276486
OpenAlexW4381047064

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.