Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37488807›Full record

ArticleNan fang yi ke da xue xue bao = Journal of Southern Medical University2023

[An interpretable machine learning-based prediction model for risk of death for patients with ischemic stroke in intensive care unit].

X Luo, Y Cheng, C Wu, J He

Abstract readEnglish Abstract
In one paragraph

Article in Nan fang yi ke da xue xue bao = Journal of Southern Medical University, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

X LuoDepartment of Military Health Statistics, Naval Medical University, Shanghai 200433, China.
Y ChengDepartment of Military Health Statistics, Naval Medical University, Shanghai 200433, China.
C WuDepartment of Military Health Statistics, Naval Medical University, Shanghai 200433, China.
J HeDepartment of Military Health Statistics, Naval Medical University, Shanghai 200433, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo construct an inherent interpretability machine learning model as an explainable boosting machine model (EBM) for predicting one-year risk of death in patients with severe ischemic stroke.

methodsWe randomly divided the data of 2369 eligible patients with severe ischemic stroke in the MIMIC-Ⅳ(2.0) database, who were admitted in ICU in 2008 to 2019, into a training dataset (80%) and a test dataset (20%), and assessed the prognosis of the patients using the EBM model. The prediction performance of the model was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve. The calibration curve and Brier score were used to evaluate the degree of calibration of the model, and a decision curve was generated to assess the net clinical benefit.

resultsThe EBM model constructed in this study had good discrimination power, calibration and net benefit, with an AUC of 0.857 (95%

conclusionThis EBM model has a good performance for predicting the risk of death within one year in patients with severe ischemic stroke and allows clinicians to better understand the contributing factors of the patients' outcomes through the model interpretability.

Indexed as

Ischemic StrokeCalibrationDatabases, FactualHumansIntensive Care UnitsMachine Learningexplainable boosting machineinherent interpretability machine learningmortality predictionsevere ischemic stroke

Identifiers

PMID37488807
PMCPMC10366517

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.