Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37591585›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2023

The met and unmet health needs for HIV, hypertension, and diabetes in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: analysis of a cross-sectional multimorbidity survey.

Urisha Singh, Stephen Olivier, Diego Cuadros, Alison Castle, Yumna Moosa, Thando Zulu, Jonathan Alex Edwards, Hae-Young Kim, Resign Gunda, Olivier Koole and 28 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Multimorbidity Management: A Scoping Review of Interventions and Health Outcomes.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors at 10 institutions in 3 countries.

Urisha SinghAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Nelson R Mandela School of Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Stephen OlivierAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Diego CuadrosDigital Epidemiology Laboratory, Digital Futures, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Alison CastleAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
Yumna MoosaAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Thando ZuluAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Jonathan Alex EdwardsInternational Institute for Rural Health, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK; Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Rollins School of Public Health and Department of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Hae-Young KimDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, USA.
Resign GundaAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Olivier KooleAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Ashmika SurujdeenAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Dickman GaretaAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Day MunatsiAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Tshwaraganang H ModiseAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Jaco DreyerAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Siyabonga NxumaloAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Theresa K SmitAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Greg Ordering-JespersenAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Innocentia B MpofanaAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Khadija KhanAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Zinzile E L SikhosanaAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Sashen MoodleyAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Yen-Ju ShenAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Thandeka KhozaAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Ngcebo MhlongoAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Sanah BuciboAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Kennedy NyamandeDepartment of Pulmonology and Critical Care, Inkosi Albert Luthuli Hospital, Durban, South Africa.
Kathy J BaisleyAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Alison D GrantAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; School of Public Health, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Kobus HerbstAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Department of Science and Innovation, Medical Research Council, South African Population Research Infrastructure, Durban, South Africa.
Janet SeeleyAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Deenan PillayAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK.
Willem HanekomAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK.
Thumbi Ndung'uAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Ragon Institute, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK; HIV Pathogenesis Programme, Doris Duke Medical Research Institute, Durban, South Africa.
Mark J SiednerAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Nelson R Mandela School of Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; School of Clinical Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Frank TanserAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; College of Health Sciences, and Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; International Institute for Rural Health, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK; School of Data Science and Computational Thinking, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Emily B WongAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa; Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA. Electronic address: emily.wong@ahri.org.
Vukuzazi team
Africa Health Research Institute · ZAUniversity of KwaZulu-Natal · ZALondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBCentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa · ZAUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Cincinnati · USEmory University · USHarvard University · USNew York University · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · US

Funding

Partnership for Global Health Research Training Program (Renewal)-Supplement for OBSSR, NCI, NCI-AIDS and NIDCDD43TW010543 · FIC · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Wafaie W Fawzi, DAVIDSON HOWES HAMER · 2017 to 2026
$12.1M
Can HIV Hot-Spots be eradicated? An intervention to decrease HIV transmission to young women in rural KwaZulu-Natal South AfricaR01AI124389 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL · PI BARNIGHAUSEN, TILL, TANSER, FRANK COURTENEY · 2016 to 2020
$2.1M
The changing face of HIV in the era of COVID-19: Maximising HIV incidence reduction through dynamic targeting of current and future distributions of acquisition risk.R01MH131480 · NIMH · STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY · PI Henry Godwell Mwambi, Frank Courteney Tanser · 2023 to 2026
$2.0M
Mentoring patient-oriented research to improve cardiovascular health among people with HIV in sub-Saharan AfricaK24HL166024 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MARK J SIEDNER · 2022 to 2026
$616k
Quantification of patterns of multimorbidity to develop effective and efficient models of HIV, TB and NCD co-care in rural South AfricaR21TW011687 · FIC · KWAZULU-NATAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE TB-HIV · PI TANSER, FRANK COURTENEY, WONG, EMILY BETH · 2020 to 2021
$347k
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW010543FIC NIH HHS R21 TW011687NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL166024NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI124389NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH131480Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 201433/Z/16/A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe convergence of infectious diseases and non-communicable diseases in South Africa is challenging to health systems. In this analysis, we assessed the multimorbidity health needs of individuals and communities in rural KwaZulu-Natal and established a framework to quantify met and unmet health needs for individuals living with infectious and non-communicable diseases.

methodsWe analysed data collected between May 25, 2018, and March 13, 2020, from participants of a large, community-based, cross-sectional multimorbidity survey (Vukuzazi) that offered community-based HIV, hypertension, and diabetes screening to all residents aged 15 years or older in a surveillance area in the uMkhanyakude district in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Data from the Vukuzazi survey were linked with data from demographic and health surveillance surveys with a unique identifier common to both studies. Questionnaires were used to assess the diagnosed health conditions, treatment history, general health, and sociodemographic characteristics of an individual. For each condition (ie, HIV, hypertension, and diabetes), individuals were defined as having no health needs (absence of condition), met health needs (condition that is well controlled), or one or more unmet health needs (including diagnosis, engagement in care, or treatment optimisation). We analysed met and unmet health needs for individual and combined conditions and investigated their geospatial distribution.

findingsOf 18 041 participants who completed the survey (12 229 [67·8%] were female and 5812 [32·2%] were male), 9898 (54·9%) had at least one of the three chronic diseases measured. 4942 (49·9%) of these 9898 individuals had at least one unmet health need (1802 [18·2%] of 9898 needed treatment optimisation, 1282 [13·0%] needed engagement in care, and 1858 [18·8%] needed a diagnosis). Unmet health needs varied by disease; 1617 (93·1%) of 1737 people who screened positive for diabetes, 2681 (58·2%) of 4603 people who screened positive for hypertension, and 1321 (21·7%) of 6096 people who screened positive for HIV had unmet health needs. Geospatially, met health needs for HIV were widely distributed and unmet health needs for all three conditions had specific sites of concentration; all three conditions had an overlapping geographical pattern for the need for diagnosis.

interpretationAlthough people living with HIV predominantly have a well controlled condition, there is a high burden of unmet health needs for people living with hypertension and diabetes. In South Africa, adapting current, widely available HIV care services to integrate non-communicable disease care is of high priority.

fundingFogarty International Center and the National Institutes of Health, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the South African Department of Science and Innovation, the South African Medical Research Council, the South African Population Research Infrastructure Network, and the Wellcome Trust. TRANSLATION: For the isiZulu translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusHIV InfectionsHypertensionNoncommunicable DiseasesCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMultimorbiditySouth AfricaUnited States

Identifiers

PMID37591585
PMCPMC10447220
OpenAlexW4385833554

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.