Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37649281›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2023

Cost-effectiveness of preventive aspirin use and intensive downstaging polypectomy in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis: A microsimulation modeling study.

Eiko Saito, Michihiro Mutoh, Hideki Ishikawa, Kenichi Kamo, Keisuke Fukui, Megumi Hori, Yuri Ito, Yichi Chen, Byron Sigel, Masau Sekiguchi and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 10 institutions in 3 countries.

Eiko SaitoInstitute for Global Health Policy Research, Bureau of International Health Cooperation, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4550-9631
Michihiro MutohDepartment of Molecular-Targeting Prevention, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-2054-7655
Hideki IshikawaDepartment of Molecular-Targeting Cancer Prevention, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-5980-698X
Kenichi KamoCenter for Medical Education, Sapporo Medical University, Sapporo, Japan.
Keisuke FukuiGraduate School of Advanced Science and Engineering, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, Japan.
Megumi HoriSchool of Nursing, University of Shizuoka, Shizuoka, Japan.
Yuri ItoDepartment of Medical Statistics, Research & Development Center, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Takatsuki City Osaka, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-1407-2393
Yichi ChenDivision of Health Medical Intelligence, Human Genome Center, The Institute of Medical Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Byron SigelInstitute for Cancer Control, National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Masau SekiguchiCancer Screening Center/Endoscopy Division, National Cancer Center Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-6253-6896
Osamu HemmiDepartment of Health Promotion, National Institute of Public Health, Saitama, Japan.
Kota KatanodaInstitute for Cancer Control, National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine · JPNational Cancer Research Institute · GBHiroshima University · JPNational Cancer Centre Japan · JPNational Center for Global Health and Medicine · JPNational Institute of Public Health · JPOsaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University · JPSapporo Medical University · JPThe University of Tokyo · JPUniversity of Shizuoka · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAlthough there is increasing evidence to suggest the cost-effectiveness of aspirin use to prevent colorectal cancer (CRC) in the general population, no study has assessed cost-effectiveness in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP), who are at high risk of developing CRC. We examined the cost-effectiveness of preventive use of low-dose aspirin in FAP patients who had undergone polypectomy in comparison with current treatment practice.

designWe developed a microsimulation model that simulates a hypothetical cohort of the Japanese population with FAP for 40 years. Three scenarios were created based on three intervention strategies for comparison with no intervention, namely intensive downstaging polypectomy (IDP) of colorectal polyps at least 5.0 mm in diameter, IDP combined with low-dose aspirin, and total proctocolectomy with ileal pouch-anal anastomosis (IPAA). Cost-effective strategies were identified using a willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 50,000 per QALY gained.

resultsCompared with no intervention, all strategies resulted in extended QALYs (21.01-21.43 QALYs per individual) and showed considerably reduced colorectal cancer mortality (23.35-53.62 CRC deaths per 1000 individuals). Based on the willingness-to-pay threshold, IDP with low-dose aspirin was more cost-effective than the other strategies, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $57 compared with no preventive intervention. These findings were confirmed in both one-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

conclusionThis study suggests that the strategy of low-dose aspirin with IDP may be cost-effective compared with IDP-only or IPAA under the national fee schedule of Japan.

Indexed as

Adenomatous Polyposis ColiProctocolectomy, RestorativeAspirinCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansJapanAspirinaspirinchemopreventioncolorectal cancercost-effectiveness analysisfamilial adenomatous polyposismicrosimulation

Identifiers

PMID37649281
PMCPMC10557886
OpenAlexW4386304977

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.