Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37702046›Full record

ArticleSubstance abuse2023

Association Between Opioid Dose Reduction Rates and Overdose Among Patients Prescribed Long-Term Opioid Therapy.

Jason M Glanz, Stanley Xu, Komal J Narwaney, David L McClure, Deborah J Rinehart, Morgan A Ford, Anh P Nguyen, Ingrid A Binswanger

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Substance abuse, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jason M GlanzInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA.
Stanley XuDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Komal J NarwaneyInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA.
David L McClureCenter for Clinical Epidemiology and Population Health, Marshfield Clinic Research Institute, Marshfield, WI, USA.
Deborah J RinehartCenter for Health Systems Research, Office of Research, Denver Health and Hospital Authority, Denver, CO, USA.
Morgan A FordInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA.
Anh P NguyenInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA.
Ingrid A BinswangerInstitute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8862-8078
Kaiser Permanente · USDenver Health Medical Center · USMarshfield Clinic · US

Funding

Assessing the Safety and Effectiveness of Opioid Tapering in Large Health SystemsR01DA047537 · NIDA · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI BINSWANGER, INGRID A, GLANZ, JASON M · 2019 to 2022
$2.6M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA047537
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTapering long-term opioid therapy is an increasingly common practice, yet rapid opioid dose reductions may increase the risk of overdose. The objective of this study was to compare overdose risk following opioid dose reduction rates of ≤10%, 11% to 20%, 21% to 30%, and >30% per month to stable dosing.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study in three health systems in Colorado and Wisconsin. Participants were patients ≥18 years of age prescribed long-term opioid therapy between January 1, 2006, and June 30, 2019. Five opioid dosing patterns and drug overdoses (fatal and nonfatal) were identified using electronic health records, pharmacy records, and the National Death Index. Cox proportional hazard regression was conducted on a propensity score-weighted cohort to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for follow-up periods of 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months after a dose reduction.

resultsIn a cohort of 17 540 patients receiving long-term opioid therapy, 42.7% of patients experienced a dose reduction. Relative to stable dosing, a dose reduction rate of >30% was associated with an increased risk of overdose and the aHR estimates decreased as the follow-up increased; the aHRs for the 1-, 6- and 12-month follow-ups were 5.33 (95% CI, 1.98-14.34), 1.81 (95% CI,1.08-3.03), and 1.49 (95% CI, 0.97-2.27), respectively. The slower tapering rates were not associated with overdose risk.

conclusionsPatients receiving long-term opioid therapy exposed to dose reduction rates of >30% per month had increased overdose risk relative to patients exposed to stable dosing. Results support the use of slow dose reductions to minimize the risk of overdose.

Indexed as

Drug OverdoseOpioid-Related DisordersAnalgesics, OpioidCohort StudiesDrug TaperingHumansRetrospective StudiesAnalgesics, Opioidlong-term opioid therapyopioid taperingoverdose

Identifiers

PMID37702046
PMCPMC11044711
OpenAlexW4386704904

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.