Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37709301›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2023

Identifying strategic priorities for advancing global drowning prevention: a Delphi method.

Justin-Paul Scarr, Jagnoor Jagnoor

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Verbal autopsy instruments for 'causes and circumstances' surrounding drowning deaths in low- and middle-income countries: a scoping review.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Burden of unintentional drowning in Indonesia: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2025
    Article
  4. Shaping global strategy, mobilising for local action: reflections from the World Conference on Drowning Prevention 2023.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Conceptual definition for drowning prevention: a Delphi study.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Justin-Paul ScarrThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Newtown, New South Wales, Australia jscarr@georgeinstitute.org.au.ORCID 0000-0002-6547-0703
Jagnoor JagnoorThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Newtown, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5276-9095

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe burden of drowning is gaining prominence on the global agenda. Two United Nations system resolutions in 3 years reflect rising political support, but priorities remain undefined, and the issue lacks a global strategy. We aimed to identify strategic priorities for advancing global drowning prevention using a modified Delphi method.

methodsAn advisory group was formed, and participants recruited with diverse expertise and backgrounds. We used document review, and data extracted from global health partnerships to identify strategic domains and draft priorities for global drowning prevention. Participants rated the priorities in two Delphi rounds, guided by relevance, feasibility and impact on equity, and where consensus was ≥70% of participants rating the priority as critical.

resultsWe recruited 134 participants from research (40.2%), policy (26.9%), technical (25.4%) and community (7.5%) backgrounds, with 38.1% representing low- and middle-income countries. We drafted 75 priorities. Following two Delphi rounds, 50 priorities were selected across the seven domains of research and further contextualisation, best practice guidance, capacity building, engagement with other health and sustainable development agendas, high-level political advocacy, multisectoral action and strengthening inclusive global governance. Participants scored priorities based on relevance (43.2%), feasibility (29.4%) and impact on equity (27.4%).

conclusionOur study identifies global priorities for drowning prevention and provides evidence for advocacy of drowning prevention in all pertinent policies, and in all relevant agendas. The priorities can be applied by funders to guide investment, by researchers to frame study questions, by policymakers to contrast views of expert groups and by national coalitions to anchor national drowning prevention plans. We identify agendas including disaster risk reduction, sustainable development, child and adolescent health, and climate resilience, where drowning prevention might offer co-benefits. Finally, our findings offer a strategic blueprint as the field looks to accelerate action, and develop a global strategy for drowning prevention.

Indexed as

DisastersDrowningAdolescentAdolescent HealthCapacity BuildingChildDelphi TechniqueHumansHealth policyInjuryQualitative study

Identifiers

PMID37709301
PMCPMC10503336

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.