Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37848734›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2023

The cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified breast cancer screening in the UK.

Harry Hill, Ben Kearns, Nora Pashayan, Cristina Roadevin, Peter Sasieni, Judith Offman, Stephen Duffy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Implementing a Risk-Stratified National Breast Screening Programme in the United Kingdom: A Model-Based Cost-effectiveness Analysis.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
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  7. A guide to cancer screening.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Harry HillSchool of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, England. Harry.hill@sheffield.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-0908-5595
Ben KearnsSchool of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, England.
Nora PashayanDepartment of Applied Health Research, University College London, London, England.ORCID 0000-0003-0843-2468
Cristina RoadevinNottingham Clinical Trials Unit, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, England.
Peter SasieniLife Sciences & Medicine, King's College London, London, England.ORCID 0000-0003-1509-8744
Judith OffmanLife Sciences & Medicine, King's College London, London, England.
Stephen DuffyWolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, England.ORCID 0000-0003-4901-7922

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere has been growing interest in the UK and internationally of risk-stratified breast screening whereby individualised risk assessment may inform screening frequency, starting age, screening instrument used, or even decisions not to screen. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of eight proposals for risk-stratified screening regimens compared to both the current UK screening programme and no national screening.

methodsA person-level microsimulation model was developed to estimate health-related quality of life, cancer survival and NHS costs over the lifetime of the female population eligible for screening in the UK.

resultsCompared with both the current screening programme and no screening, risk-stratified regimens generated additional costs and QALYs, and had a larger net health benefit. The likelihood of the current screening programme being the optimal scenario was less than 1%. No screening amongst the lowest risk group, and triannual, biennial and annual screening amongst the three higher risk groups was the optimal screening strategy from those evaluated.

conclusionsWe found that risk-stratified breast cancer screening has the potential to be beneficial for women at the population level, but the net health benefit will depend on the particular risk-based strategy.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMass ScreeningQuality-Adjusted Life YearsQuality of LifeRisk FactorsUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID37848734
PMCPMC10667489

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.