Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37940642›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

A standardized metric to enhance clinical trial design and outcome interpretation in type 1 diabetes.

Alyssa Ylescupidez, Henry T Bahnson, Colin O'Rourke, Sandra Lord, Cate Speake, Carla J Greenbaum

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.9field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Heterogeneity of outcomes reporting in catheter ablation trials for ventricular tachycardia: a systematic review.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Pooled it
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  15. Call for Standardization of C-Peptide Measurement.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Alyssa YlescupidezCenter for Interventional Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0009-0008-6049-634X
Henry T BahnsonCenter for Interventional Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, USA.
Colin O'RourkeCenter for Interventional Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, USA.
Sandra LordCenter for Interventional Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, USA.
Cate Speake *Center for Interventional Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, USA. cspeake@benaroyaresearch.org.ORCID 0000-0003-1480-4272
Carla J Greenbaum *Center for Interventional Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, USA. cjgreen@benaroyaresearch.org.ORCID 0000-0003-4451-9800
Virginia Mason Medical Center · USPearson (United States) · US

Funding

Revision to the Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNetU01DK106993 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI JEFFREY P KRISCHER, SAMUEL S WU · 2019 to 2026
$181.3M
Data Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet (UC4)USF: TrialNet UC4-3UC4DK117009 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2017 to 2019
$49.6M
NIDDK Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Data Coordinating CenterUC4DK106993 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2015 to 2015
$36.6M
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Clinical Network HubU01DK103282 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI CARLA J GREENBAUM, KURT J GRIFFIN · 2014 to 2026
$14.2M
Northwest Clinical Center for Type 1 Diabetes - TrialNetU01DK061034 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI GREENBAUM, CARLA J · 2001 to 2018
$10.3M
Type I Diabetes Trialnet at StsnfordU01DK061042 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI WILSON, DARRELL M · 2001 to 2018
$8.5M
UCSF Trialnet: A Phase II Trial of Imatimib in New Onset Type I DiabetesU01DK061010 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GITELMAN, STEPHEN E · 2001 to 2018
$8.1M
Type 1 Diabetes-A Proposal for Prevention & InterventionU01DK085476 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI MORAN, ANTOINETTE M. · 2009 to 2018
$7.1M
Prediction and Prevention of Type I DiabetesU01DK061058 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BECKER, DOROTHY J · 2001 to 2018
$6.5M
TrialNet: University of Florida Clinical Center and NetworkU01DK085461 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI HALLER, MICHAEL JAMES · 2009 to 2018
$5.9M
TrialNet: Diabetes Type 1 PreventionU01DK085509 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI GOTTLIEB, PETER A · 2009 to 2018
$5.8M
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Clinical Center: Effects of Alefacept in New Onset T1DU01DK085499 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BAIDAL, DAVID · 2009 to 2018
$4.9M
NIDDK NIH HHS R03 DK127475NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061010NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061034NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061042NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061058NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085461NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085465NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085466NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085476NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085499NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085509NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103153NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103180NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103266NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103282NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106984NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106993NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106994NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK107013NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK107014NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK106993NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK117009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The use of a standardized outcome metric enhances clinical trial interpretation and cross-trial comparison. If a disease course is predictable, comparing modeled predictions with outcome data affords the precision and confidence needed to accelerate precision medicine. We demonstrate this approach in type 1 diabetes (T1D) trials aiming to preserve endogenous insulin secretion measured by C-peptide. C-peptide is predictable given an individual's age and baseline value; quantitative response (QR) adjusts for these variables and represents the difference between the observed and predicted outcome. Validated across 13 trials, the QR metric reduces each trial's variance and increases statistical power. As smaller studies are especially subject to random sampling variability, using QR as the outcome introduces alternative interpretations of previous clinical trial results. QR can provide model-based estimates that quantify whether individuals or groups did better or worse than expected. QR also provides a purer metric to associate with biomarker measurements. Using data from more than 1300 participants, we demonstrate the value of QR in advancing disease-modifying therapy in T1D. QR applies to any disease where outcome is predictable by pre-specified baseline covariates, rendering it useful for defining responders to therapy, comparing therapeutic efficacy, and understanding causal pathways in disease.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1Clinical Trials as TopicC-PeptideHumansInsulin SecretionPrecision MedicineC-Peptide

Identifiers

PMID37940642
PMCPMC10632453
OpenAlexW4388501270

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.