Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37955206›Full record

ArticleAlimentary pharmacology & therapeutics2024

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk decreases as time accrues following hepatitis C virus eradication.

Philip Vutien, Nicole J Kim, Andrew M Moon, Kay M Johnson, Kristin Berry, Pamela K Green, George N Ioannou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Current and emerging strategies for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2025
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Philip VutienDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4196-6077
Nicole J KimDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2348-0580
Andrew M MoonDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7163-2062
Kay M JohnsonHospital and Specialty Medicine, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Kristin BerryHealth Service Research and Development, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Pamela K GreenHealth Service Research and Development, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Washington, USA.
George N IoannouDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Funding

Does Screening for HCC in Cirrhotic Patients Reduce HCC-related Mortality?R01CA196692 · NCI · SEATTLE INST FOR BIOMEDICAL/CLINICAL RES · PI IOANNOU, GEORGE, WEISS, NOEL S · 2015 to 2018
$985k
Does screening for HCC reduce HCC-related mortality in HBV-infected Veterans?I01CX001156 · VA · VA PUGET SOUND HEALTHCARE SYSTEM · PI IOANNOU, GEORGE · 2015 to 2020
–
Development and Validation of a Cirrhosis-specific Surgical Risk Calculator (C-SuRC)I01HX003062 · VA · VA PUGET SOUND HEALTHCARE SYSTEM · PI IOANNOU, GEORGE · 2020 to 2025
–
CSRD VA I01 CX001156HSRD VA I01 HX003062NCI NIH HHS R01 CA196692
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt is unclear whether the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) decreases over time following hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication.

aimTo determine if patients who have accrued longer time since sustained virologic response (SVR) have a lower risk of HCC than those with less time since SVR

methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of all HCV-infected Veterans Affairs patients who achieved SVR before 1 January 2018 and remained alive without a diagnosis of HCC as of 1 January 2019 (n = 75,965). We ascertained their baseline characteristics as of 1 January 2019 (time zero), including time accrued since SVR and followed them for the subsequent 12 months for incident HCC. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression to determine the association between time since SVR and HCC risk after adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, sex, diabetes, hypertension, body mass index, alcohol use, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Fibrosis-4 score, HCV genotype, hepatitis B virus co-infection and HIV co-infection.

results96.0% were male; mean age was 64.6  years. Among those with cirrhosis (n = 19,678, 25.9%), compared to patients who had accrued only ≥1 to 2 years since SVR (HCC incidence 2.71/100 person-years), those who had accrued >2 to 4 years (2.11/100 person-years, aHR 0.80, 95% CI 0.63-1.01) and >4 to 6 years (1.65/100 person-years, aHR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.90) had progressively lower HCC risk. However, HCC risk appeared to plateau for those with >6 years since SVR (1.68/100 person-years, aHR 0.70, 95% CI 0.46-1.07). Among those without cirrhosis, HCC risk was 0.23-0.27/100 person-years without a significant association between time since SVR and HCC risk.

conclusionsAmong patients with cirrhosis and cured HCV infection, HCC risk declined progressively up to 6 years post-SVR-although it remained well above thresholds that warrant screening. This suggests that time since SVR can inform HCC surveillance strategies in patients with cured HCV infection and can be incorporated into HCC risk prediction models.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularCoinfectionHepatitis CHepatitis C, ChronicLiver NeoplasmsAntiviral AgentsFemaleHepacivirusHumansLiver CirrhosisMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSustained Virologic ResponseAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID37955206
PMCPMC10842311

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.