Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38001037›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2024

Protection Conferred by COVID-19 Vaccination, Prior SARS-CoV-2 Infection, or Hybrid Immunity Against Omicron-Associated Severe Outcomes Among Community-Dwelling Adults.

Nelson Lee, Lena Nguyen, Peter C Austin, Kevin A Brown, Ramandip Grewal, Sarah A Buchan, Sharifa Nasreen, Jonathan Gubbay, Kevin L Schwartz, Mina Tadrous and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Nelson LeeDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0783-6607
Lena NguyenICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Peter C AustinICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-3337-233X
Kevin A BrownDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ramandip GrewalDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Sarah A BuchanDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5286-8974
Sharifa NasreenDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9793-113X
Jonathan GubbayBritish Columbia Children's Hospital, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Kevin L SchwartzDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Mina TadrousICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kumanan WilsonDepartment of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Sarah E WilsonDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jeffrey C KwongDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7820-2046

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWe assessed protection from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines and/or prior severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection against Omicron-associated severe outcomes during successive sublineage-predominant periods.

methodsWe used a test-negative design to estimate protection by vaccines and/or prior infection against hospitalization/death among community-dwelling, polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-tested adults aged ≥50 years in Ontario, Canada, between 2 January 2022 and 30 June 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the relative change in the odds of hospitalization/death with each vaccine dose (2-5) and/or prior PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection (compared with unvaccinated, uninfected subjects) up to 15 months since the last vaccination or infection.

resultsWe included 18 526 cases with Omicron-associated severe outcomes and 90 778 test-negative controls. Vaccine protection was high during BA.1/BA.2 predominance but was generally <50% during periods of BA.4/BA.5 and BQ/XBB predominance without boosters. A third/fourth dose transiently increased protection during BA.4/BA.5 predominance (third-dose, 6-month: 68%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 63%-72%; fourth-dose, 6-month: 80%, 95% CI 77%-83%) but was lower and waned quickly during BQ/XBB predominance (third-dose, 6-month: 59%, 95% CI 48%-67%; 12-month: 49%, 95% CI 41%-56%; fourth-dose, 6-month: 62%, 95% CI 56%-68%, 12-months: 51%, 95% CI 41%-56%). Hybrid immunity conferred nearly 90% protection throughout BA.1/BA.2 and BA.4/BA.5 predominance but was reduced during BQ/XBB predominance (third-dose, 6-month: 60%, 95% CI 36%-75%; fourth-dose, 6-month: 63%, 95% CI 42%-76%). Protection was restored with a fifth dose (bivalent; 6-month: 91%, 95% CI 79%-96%). Prior infection alone did not confer lasting protection.

conclusionsProtection from COVID-19 vaccines and/or prior SARS-CoV-2 infections against severe outcomes is reduced when immune-evasive variants/subvariants emerge and may also wane over time. Our findings support a variant-adapted booster vaccination strategy with periodic review.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesSARS-CoV-2AgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHospitalizationHumansIndependent LivingMaleMiddle AgedOntarioVaccinationCOVID-19 VaccinesadultsCOVID-19 vaccinationhybrid immunityOmicronsevere outcomes

Identifiers

PMID38001037
PMCPMC11093681

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.