Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38031071›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2023

Machine learning-based models for the prediction of breast cancer recurrence risk.

Duo Zuo, Lexin Yang, Yu Jin, Huan Qi, Yahui Liu, Li Ren

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
91citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

91 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  6. An interpretable breast cancer risk stratification model via multi-omics integration: multi-method development and cross-cohort validation.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Duo Zuo *Department of Clinical Laboratory, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China.
Lexin Yang *Department of Clinical Laboratory, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China.
Yu JinDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China.
Huan QiChina Mobile Group Tianjin Company Limited, Tianjin, 300308, China.
Yahui LiuDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China.
Li RenDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China. liren@tmu.edu.cn.

Funding

Tianjin Health Research Project TJWJ2022ZD003Tianjin Health Research Project TJWJ2023MS005Tianjin Key Medical Discipline (Specialty) Construction Project TJYXZDXK-009A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Breast cancer is the most common malignancy diagnosed in women worldwide. The prevalence and incidence of breast cancer is increasing every year; therefore, early diagnosis along with suitable relapse detection is an important strategy for prognosis improvement. This study aimed to compare different machine algorithms to select the best model for predicting breast cancer recurrence. The prediction model was developed by using eleven different machine learning (ML) algorithms, including logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector classification (SVC), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), decision tree, multilayer perceptron (MLP), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), Gaussian naive Bayes (GaussianNB), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), to predict breast cancer recurrence. The area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and F1 score were used to evaluate the performance of the prognostic model. Based on performance, the optimal ML was selected, and feature importance was ranked by Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values. Compared to the other 10 algorithms, the results showed that the AdaBoost algorithm had the best prediction performance for successfully predicting breast cancer recurrence and was adopted in the establishment of the prediction model. Moreover, CA125, CEA, Fbg, and tumor diameter were found to be the most important features in our dataset to predict breast cancer recurrence. More importantly, our study is the first to use the SHAP method to improve the interpretability of clinicians to predict the recurrence model of breast cancer based on the AdaBoost algorithm. The AdaBoost algorithm offers a clinical decision support model and successfully identifies the recurrence of breast cancer.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsAlgorithmsBayes TheoremBreastFemaleHumansMachine LearningArtificial intelligenceBreast cancerDisease recurrenceMachine learningPrediction model

Identifiers

PMID38031071
PMCPMC10688055

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.