Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38105461›Full record

SynthesisJournal of medical virology2023

Outpatient randomized controlled trials to reduce COVID-19 hospitalization: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

David J Sullivan, Daniele Focosi, Daniel F Hanley, Mario Cruciani, Massimo Franchini, Jiangda Ou, Arturo Casadevall, Nigel Paneth

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of medical virology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Using Passive Antibody Therapies in the Next Pandemic.Current topics in microbiology and immunology · 2025
    Review
  5. Estimates of actual and potential lives saved in the United States from the use of COVID-19 convalescent plasma.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. COVID-19 therapeutics.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2024
    Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

David J SullivanDepartment of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0319-0578
Daniele FocosiNorth-Western Tuscany Blood Bank, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8811-195X
Daniel F HanleyDepartment of Neurology, Brain Injury Outcomes Division, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Mario CrucianiDivision of Hematology, Carlo Poma Hospital, Mantua, Italy.
Massimo FranchiniDivision of Hematology, Carlo Poma Hospital, Mantua, Italy.
Jiangda OuDepartment of Neurology, Brain Injury Outcomes Division, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Arturo CasadevallDepartment of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Nigel PanethDepartments of Epidemiology & Biostatistics and Pediatrics & Human Development, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USAzienda Ospedaliera Carlo Poma · ITMichigan State University · US

Funding

QAQC Johns Hopkins Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR003098 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2019 to 2023
$57.7M
Johns Hopkins-Tufts Trial Innovation Center HEAL Pain ERN SupplementU24TR001609 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI HANLEY, DANIEL F · 2016 to 2022
$36.3M
Conjugate vaccines for prevention and treatment of cryptococcosis - COVID-19 Revision SupplementR01AI152078 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CASADEVALL, ARTURO · 2020 to 2024
$5.1M
NCATS NIH HHS U24 TR001609NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR003098NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI152078
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This COVID-19 outpatient randomized controlled trials (RCTs) systematic review compares hospitalization outcomes amongst four treatment classes over pandemic period, geography, variants, and vaccine status. Outpatient RCTs with hospitalization endpoint were identified in Pubmed searches through May 2023, excluding RCTs <30 participants (PROSPERO-CRD42022369181). Risk of bias was extracted from COVID-19-NMA, with odds ratio utilized for pooled comparison. Searches identified 281 studies with 61 published RCTs for 33 diverse interventions analyzed. RCTs were largely unvaccinated cohorts with at least one COVID-19 hospitalization risk factor. Grouping by class, monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) (OR = 0.31 [95% CI = 0.24-0.40]) had highest hospital reduction efficacy, followed by COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) (OR = 0.69 [95% CI = 0.53-0.90]), small molecule antivirals (OR = 0.78 [95% CI = 0.48-1.33]), and repurposed drugs (OR = 0.82 [95% CI: 0.72-0.93]). Earlier in disease onset interventions performed better than later. This meta-analysis allows approximate head-to-head comparisons of diverse outpatient interventions. Omicron sublineages (XBB and BQ.1.1) are resistant to mAbs Despite trial heterogeneity, this pooled comparison by intervention class indicated oral antivirals are the preferred outpatient treatment where available, but intravenous interventions from convalescent plasma to remdesivir are also effective and necessary in constrained medical resource settings or for acute and chronic COVID-19 in the immunocompromised.

Indexed as

COVID-19Antibodies, MonoclonalAntiviral AgentsCOVID-19 SerotherapyHospitalizationHumansOutpatientsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicAntibodies, MonoclonalAntiviral Agentsconvalescent plasmaCOVID-19monoclonal antibodyoutpatientsrandomized controlled trialsmall molecule antivirals

Identifiers

PMID38105461
PMCPMC10754263
OpenAlexW4389885906

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.