Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38159275›Full record

ArticleCell reports2024

Performance reserves in brain-imaging-based phenotype prediction.

Marc-Andre Schulz, Danilo Bzdok, Stefan Haufe, John-Dylan Haynes, Kerstin Ritter

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cell reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marc-Andre SchulzCharité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Berlin, Germany; Bernstein Center for Computational Neuroscience, Berlin, Germany. Electronic address: marc-andre.schulz@charite.de.
Danilo BzdokMcConnell Brain Imaging Centre (BIC), Montreal Neurological Institute (MNI), Faculty of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Faculty of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; Mila - Quebec Artificial Intelligence Institute, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Stefan HaufeBernstein Center for Computational Neuroscience, Berlin, Germany; Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany; Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt, Berlin, Germany; Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Neurology, Berlin Center for Advanced Neuroimaging, Berlin, Germany.
John-Dylan HaynesBernstein Center for Computational Neuroscience, Berlin, Germany; Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Neurology, Berlin Center for Advanced Neuroimaging, Berlin, Germany.
Kerstin RitterCharité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin (corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Berlin, Germany; Bernstein Center for Computational Neuroscience, Berlin, Germany.

Funding

Investigating the impact of loneliness on brain aging and pre-symptomatic Alzheimer's disease progressionR01AG068563 · NIA · MCGILL UNIVERSITY · PI BZDOK, DANILO, SPRENG, ROBERT NATHAN · 2020 to 2024
$2.3M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG068563
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study examines the impact of sample size on predicting cognitive and mental health phenotypes from brain imaging via machine learning. Our analysis shows a 3- to 9-fold improvement in prediction performance when sample size increases from 1,000 to 1 M participants. However, despite this increase, the data suggest that prediction accuracy remains worryingly low and far from fully exploiting the predictive potential of brain imaging data. Additionally, we find that integrating multiple imaging modalities boosts prediction accuracy, often equivalent to doubling the sample size. Interestingly, the most informative imaging modality often varied with increasing sample size, emphasizing the need to consider multiple modalities. Despite significant performance reserves for phenotype prediction, achieving substantial improvements may necessitate prohibitively large sample sizes, thus casting doubt on the practical or clinical utility of machine learning in some areas of neuroimaging.

Indexed as

BrainNeuroimagingEmotionsHumansMachine LearningMagnetic Resonance ImagingPhenotypeaccuracy limitsbrain imagingCP: Neurosciencemachine learningmultimodal imagingsample sizescaling behavior

Identifiers

PMID38159275
PMCPMC11215805

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.