Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38213907›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Endocrine Society2024

Chemicals Used in Plastic Materials: An Estimate of the Attributable Disease Burden and Costs in the United States.

Leonardo Trasande, Roopa Krithivasan, Kevin Park, Vladislav Obsekov, Michael Belliveau

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Endocrine Society, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 27 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. A Review of Biomonitoring for Atrazine and Atrazine Metabolites Using Blood, Urine, and Sweat-Based Assays.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. From plastic spine hypothesis to decision-grade evidence: building a translational exposome framework for spine research.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  6. Addressing contaminants of emerging concern in the United States public water systems.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. The "plastic spine" phenotype and the spine exposome: emerging links between micro- and nanoplastics and spinal disorders.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Popular infection prevention myths related to single-use plastics.Antimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Leonardo TrasandeDepartment of Pediatrics, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NewYork, NY 10016, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1928-597X
Roopa KrithivasanDefend Our Health, Portland, ME 04101, USA.
Kevin ParkDepartment of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NewYork, NY 10016, USA.
Vladislav ObsekovChildren's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Michael BelliveauDefend Our Health, Portland, ME 04101, USA.

Funding

TRAINING PROGRAM IN ENVIRONMENTAL TOXICOLOGYT32ES007324 · NIEHS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI CUDDAPAH, SURESH · 1999 to 2025
$5.8M
Translation CoreP2CES033423 · NIEHS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI CHAU TRINH-SHEVRIN, Lorna Thorpe · 2022 to 2026
$5.1M
NIEHS NIH HHS P2C ES033423NIEHS NIH HHS T32 ES007324
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Context: Chemicals used in plastics have been described to contribute to disease and disability, but attributable fractions have not been quantified to assess specific contributions. Without this information, interventions proposed as part of the Global Plastics Treaty cannot be evaluated for potential benefits. Objective: To accurately inform the tradeoffs involved in the ongoing reliance on plastic production as a source of economic productivity in the United States, we calculated the attributable disease burden and cost due to chemicals used in plastic materials in 2018. Methods: We first analyzed the existing literature to identify plastic-related fractions (PRF) of disease and disability for specific polybrominated diphenylethers (PBDE), phthalates, bisphenols, and polyfluoroalkyl substances and perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS). We then updated previously published disease burden and cost estimates for these chemicals in the United States to 2018. By uniting these data, we computed estimates of attributable disease burden and costs due to plastics in the United States. Results: We identified PRFs of 97.5% for bisphenol A (96.25-98.75% for sensitivity analysis), 98% (96%-99%) for di-2-ethylhexylphthalate, 100% (71%-100%) for butyl phthalates and benzyl phthalates, 98% (97%-99%) for PBDE-47, and 93% (16%-96%) for PFAS. In total, we estimate $249 billion (sensitivity analysis: $226 billion-$289 billion) in plastic-attributable disease burden in 2018. The majority of these costs arose as a result of PBDE exposure, though $66.7 billion ($64.7 billion-67.3 billion) was due to phthalate exposure and $22.4 billion was due to PFAS exposure (sensitivity analysis: $3.85-$60.1 billion). Conclusion: Plastics contribute substantially to disease and associated social costs in the United States, accounting for 1.22% of the gross domestic product. The costs of plastic pollution will continue to accumulate as long as exposures continue at current levels. Actions through the Global Plastics Treaty and other policy initiatives will reduce these costs in proportion to the actual reductions in chemical exposures achieved.

Indexed as

bisphenolscostdiseaseperfluoroalkyl substancesphthalatesplastics

Identifiers

PMID38213907
PMCPMC10783259

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.