Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38326751›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2024

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with sinonasal mucosal melanoma.

Zhenzhen Zhu, Weiqing Wang, Yang Zha, Xiaowei Wang, Surita Aodeng, Lei Wang, Yuzhuo Liu, Wei Lv

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Zhenzhen ZhuDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Weiqing WangDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Yang ZhaDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Xiaowei WangDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Surita AodengDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Lei WangDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Yuzhuo LiuDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China.
Wei LvDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, No.1, Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, 100730, Beijing, China. lili20020615@sina.com.

Funding

National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding 2022-PUMCH-B-096National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding 2022-PUMCH-C-050National Natural Science Foundation of China 82301288
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSinonasal mucosal melanoma (SNMM) is a relatively rare malignant tumour with a poor prognosis. This study was designed to identify prognostic factors and establish a nomogram model to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with SNMM.

methodsA total of 459 patients with SNMM were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database as the training cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to screen for independent factors associated with patient prognosis and develop the nomogram model. In addition, external validation was performed to evaluate the effectiveness of the nomogram with a cohort of 34 patients with SNMM from Peking Union Medical College Hospital.

resultsThe median OS in the cohort from the SEER database was 28 months. The 1-year, 3-year and 5-year OS rates were 69.8%, 40.4%, and 30.0%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that age, T stage, N stage, surgery and radiotherapy were independent variables associated with OS. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of the nomograms for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year OS were 0.78, 0.71 and 0.71, respectively, in the training cohort. In the validation cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year OS were 0.90, 0.75 and 0.78, respectively. Patients were classified into low- and high-risk groups based on the total score of the nomogram. Patients in the low-risk group had a significantly better survival prognosis than patients in the high-risk group in both the training cohort (P < 0.0001) and the validation cohort (P = 0.0016).

conclusionWe established and validated a novel nomogram model to predict the OS of SNMM patients stratified by age, T stage, N stage, surgery and radiotherapy. This predictive tool is of potential importance in the realms of patient counselling and clinical decision-making.

Indexed as

MelanomaParanasal Sinus NeoplasmsArea Under CurveClinical Decision-MakingHumansNomogramsPrognosisSEER ProgramNomogramPrognosisSEER databaseSinonasal mucosal melanomaSurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID38326751
PMCPMC10851497

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.