Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38523847›Full record

ArticleAnnals of global health2024

Evidence-based Decision Making: Infectious Disease Modeling Training for Policymakers in East Africa.

Sylvia K Ofori, Emmanuelle A Dankwa, Emmanuel Ngwakongnwi, Alemayehu Amberbir, Abebe Bekele, Megan B Murray, Yonatan H Grad, Caroline O Buckee, Bethany L Hedt-Gauthier

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of global health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Sylvia K OforiCenter for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9961-9975
Emmanuelle A DankwaCenter for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3084-5915
Emmanuel NgwakongnwiInstitute of Global Health Equity Research, University of Global Health Equity, Kigali, Rwanda.ORCID 0000-0002-4987-8135
Alemayehu AmberbirInstitute of Global Health Equity Research, University of Global Health Equity, Kigali, Rwanda.ORCID 0000-0002-7071-520X
Abebe BekeleSchool of Medicine, University of Global Health Equity, Kigali, Rwanda.ORCID 0000-0003-0018-9096
Megan B MurrayDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0443-1986
Yonatan H GradDepartment of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5646-1314
Caroline O BuckeeCenter for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8386-5899
Bethany L Hedt-GauthierDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9689-5413

Funding

CDC HHS 200-2016-91779
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is an important decision-making tool for outbreak control. However, in Africa, limited expertise reduces the use and impact of these tools on policy. Therefore, there is a need to build capacity in Africa for the use of mathematical modeling to inform policy. Here we describe our experience implementing a mathematical modeling training program for public health professionals in East Africa. Methods: We used a deliverable-driven and learning-by-doing model to introduce trainees to the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. The training comprised two two-week in-person sessions and a practicum where trainees received intensive mentorship. Trainees evaluated the content and structure of the course at the end of each week, and this feedback informed the strategy for subsequent weeks. Findings: Out of 875 applications from 38 countries, we selected ten trainees from three countries - Rwanda (6), Kenya (2), and Uganda (2) - with guidance from an advisory committee. Nine trainees were based at government institutions and one at an academic organization. Participants gained skills in developing models to answer questions of interest and critically appraising modeling studies. At the end of the training, trainees prepared policy briefs summarizing their modeling study findings. These were presented at a dissemination event to policymakers, researchers, and program managers. All trainees indicated they would recommend the course to colleagues and rated the quality of the training with a median score of 9/10. Conclusions: Mathematical modeling training programs for public health professionals in Africa can be an effective tool for research capacity building and policy support to mitigate infectious disease burden and forecast resources. Overall, the course was successful, owing to a combination of factors, including institutional support, trainees' commitment, intensive mentorship, a diverse trainee pool, and regular evaluations.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesDecision MakingHumansKenyaRwandaUgandaAfricaCapacity buildingEpidemiological modelsInfectious diseasesPolicy

Identifiers

PMID38523847
PMCPMC10959131

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.