Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38557647›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2024

The biopsychosocial factors associated with development of chronic musculoskeletal pain. An umbrella review and meta-analysis of observational systematic reviews.

Michael Dunn, Alison B Rushton, Jai Mistry, Andrew Soundy, Nicola R Heneghan

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Association between passive smoking and oral health among children: an umbrella review.European archives of paediatric dentistry : official journal of the European Academy of Paediatric Dentistry · 2026
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  12. Dopamine transporter gene (Pain reports · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michael DunnCentre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain, School of Sport and Exercise Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6559-663X
Alison B RushtonCentre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain, School of Sport and Exercise Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.
Jai MistryMusculoskeletal Physiotherapy, St. George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Andrew SoundyCentre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain, School of Sport and Exercise Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5118-5872
Nicola R HeneghanCentre of Precision Rehabilitation for Spinal Pain, School of Sport and Exercise Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7599-3674

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimThe aim of this umbrella review was to establish which biopsychosocial factors are associated with development of chronic musculoskeletal pain.

methodsOvid Medline, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, PsycINFO, CINAHL, PEDro, PROSPERO, Google Scholar and grey literature were searched from database inception to 4th April 2023. Systematic reviews of observational prospective longitudinal studies, including populations with <3 months (not chronic) musculoskeletal pain, investigating biopsychosocial factors that contribute to development of chronic (>3 months) musculoskeletal pain. Two reviewers searched the literature, assessed risk of bias (Assessing the Methodological Quality of Systematic Reviews-2), and evaluated quality (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation) to provide an overall statement on the certainty of evidence for each biopsychosocial factor. Data analysis was performed through random effects meta-analysis (including meta-analysis of meta-analyses where possible) and descriptive synthesis.

results13 systematic reviews were included comprising 185 original research studies (n = 489,644 participants). Thirty-four biopsychosocial factors are associated with development of chronic musculoskeletal pain. Meta-analyses of odds and/or likelihood ratios were possible for 25 biopsychosocial factors. There is moderate certainty evidence that smoking (OR 1.24 [95%CI, 1.14-1.34), fear avoidance (LR+ 2.11 [95%CI, 1.59-2.8]; LR- 0.5 [95%CI, 0.35-0.71]) poorer support networks (OR 1.21 [95%CI, 1.14-1.29]), lower socioeconomic status (OR 2.0 [95%CI, 1.64-2.42]), and high levels of pain (OR 5.61 [95%CI, 3.74-8.43]) are associated with development of chronic musculoskeletal pain (all P<0.001). Remaining factors are of low or very low certainty evidence. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: There is moderate certainty evidence that smoking, fear avoidance, poorer support networks, lower socioeconomic status, and high levels of pain are associated with development of chronic musculoskeletal pain. High risk of bias was evident in most included reviews; this highlights the need for higher quality systematic reviews.

Indexed as

Chronic PainMusculoskeletal PainHumansObservational Studies as TopicProspective StudiesSystematic Reviews as Topic

Identifiers

PMID38557647
PMCPMC10984407

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.