Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38626959›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2024

Scaling hypertension treatment in 24 low-income and middle-income countries: economic evaluation of treatment decisions at three blood pressure cut-points.

Brian Hutchinson, Adam Walter, Norm Campbell, Paul K Whelton, Cherian Varghese, Muhammad Jami Husain, Rachel Nugent, Deliana Kostova, Amanda Honeycutt

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Evolution in the targets for blood pressure treatment.Current opinion in nephrology and hypertension · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Economic Evaluation of the HEARTS Standardized Hypertension Treatment Program With Fixed-Dose Combination Pills in Chile Primary Care Clinics.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Brian HutchinsonCenter for Global Noncommunicable Diseases, RTI International, Seattle, Washington, USA bhutchinson@rti.org.ORCID 0000-0002-1576-5351
Adam WalterHealth Economics Program, Social, Statistical, and Environmental Sciences, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5907-2784
Norm CampbellCommunity Health Sciences and Physiology and Pharmacology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-1093-4742
Paul K WheltonDepartment of Epidemiology, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2225-383X
Cherian VargheseHealthier Populations and Noncommunicable Diseases, World Health Organization South East Asia Regional Office, New Delhi, India.ORCID 0000-0001-6907-0451
Muhammad Jami HusainDivision of Global Health Protection, Global Health Center, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6049-0505
Rachel NugentCenter for Global Noncommunicable Diseases, RTI International, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6421-9077
Deliana KostovaDivision of Global Health Protection, Global Health Center, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2414-0166
Amanda HoneycuttHealth Economics Program, Social, Statistical, and Environmental Sciences, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0166-1399
RTI International · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USTulane University · USUniversity of Calgary · CAWorld Health Organization Regional Office for South-East Asia · IN

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEstimate the incremental costs and benefits of scaling up hypertension care in adults in 24 select countries, using three different systolic blood pressure (SBP) treatment cut-off points-≥140, ≥150 and ≥160 mm Hg.

interventionStrengthening the hypertension care cascade compared with status quo levels, with pharmacological treatment administered at different cut-points depending on the scenario. TARGET POPULATION: Adults aged 30+ in 24 low-income and middle-income countries spanning all world regions. PERSPECTIVE: Societal. TIME HORIZON: 30 years. DISCOUNT RATE: 4%. COSTING YEAR: 2020 USD. STUDY

designDATA SOURCES: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's Epi Visualisations database-country-specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence, prevalence and death rates. Mean SBP and prevalence-National surveys and NCD-RisC. Treatment protocols-WHO HEARTS. Treatment impact-academic literature. Costs-national and international databases. OUTCOME MEASURES: Health outcomes-averted stroke and myocardial infarction events, deaths and disability-adjusted life-years; economic outcomes-averted health expenditures, value of averted mortality and workplace productivity losses. RESULTS OF ANALYSIS: Across 24 countries, over 30 years, incremental scale-up of hypertension care for adults with SBP≥140 mm Hg led to 2.6 million averted CVD events and 1.2 million averted deaths (7% of expected CVD deaths). 68% of benefits resulted from treating those with very high SBP (≥160 mm Hg). 10 of the 12 highest-income countries projected positive net benefits at one or more treatment cut-points, compared with 3 of the 12 lowest-income countries. Treating hypertension at SBP≥160 mm Hg maximised the net economic benefit in the lowest-income countries. LIMITATIONS: The model only included a few hypertension-attributable diseases and did not account for comorbid risk factors. Modelled scenarios assumed ambitious progress on strengthening the care cascade.

conclusionsIn areas where economic considerations might play an outsized role, such as very low-income countries, prioritising treatment to populations with severe hypertension can maximise benefits net of economic costs.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesHypertensionAdultBlood PressureCost-Benefit AnalysisDeveloping CountriesHumansHealth economicsHealth policyHypertensionPublic health

Identifiers

PMID38626959
PMCPMC11029208
OpenAlexW4394873661

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.