Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38632837›Full record

ArticleESC heart failure2024

Prediction of cardiac worsening through to cardiogenic shock in patients with acute heart failure.

Benedikt N Beer, Caroline Kellner, Jonas Sundermeyer, Lisa Besch, Angela Dettling, Paulus Kirchhof, Stefan Blankenberg, Christina Magnussen, Benedikt Schrage

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESC heart failure, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07508891 (Characterisation of phenotYpes in aCute Heart faiLure patiEnts), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07508891 recruitingnot on this map

Characterisation of phenotYpes in aCute Heart faiLure patiEnts

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorUniversitätsklinikum Hamburg-EppendorfRan2019 to 2030Enrolled1,000ConditionsAcute Heart Failure, Decompensated Heart Failure, Cardiogenic Shock
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Benedikt N BeerDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4315-2533
Caroline KellnerDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Jonas SundermeyerDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Lisa BeschDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Angela DettlingDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Paulus KirchhofDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Stefan BlankenbergDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Christina MagnussenDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Benedikt SchrageDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Universität Hamburg · DE

Funding

Else Kröner-Fresenius-Stiftung 2019_A142
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsAcute heart failure (AHF) can result in worsening of heart failure (WHF), cardiogenic shock (CS), or death. Risk factors for these adverse outcomes are not well characterized. This study aimed to identify predictors for WHF or new-onset CS in patients hospitalized for AHF. METHODS AND

resultsProspective cohort study enrolling consecutive patients with AHF admitted to a large tertiary care centre with follow-up until death or discharge. WHF was defined by the RELAX-AHF-2 criteria. CS was defined as SCAI stages B-E. Potential predictors were assessed by fitting logistic regression models adjusted for age and sex. N = 233 patients were enrolled, median age was 78 years, and 80 were women (35.9%). Ischaemic cardiomyopathy was present in 82 patients (40.8%). Overall, 96 (44.2%) developed WHF and 18 (9.7%) CS. In-hospital death (8/223, 3.6%) was related to both events (WHF: OR 6.64, 95% CI 1.21-36.55, P = 0.03; CS: OR 38.27, 95% CI 6.32-231.81, P < 0.001). Chronic kidney disease (OR 2.20, 95% CI 1.25-3.93, P = 0.007), logarithmized serum creatinine (OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.51-5.82, P = 0.002), cystatin c (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.27-2.77, P = 0.002), tricuspid valve regurgitation (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.11-3.94, P = 0.023) and logarithmized pro-adrenomedullin (OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.75-5.38, P < 0.001) were significant predictors of WHF. Chronic kidney disease (OR 3.17, 95% CI 1.16-9.58, P = 0.03), cystatin c (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.00-3.53, P = 0.045), logarithmized pro-adrenomedullin (OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.19-7.19, P = 0.019), and tricuspid valve regurgitation (OR 10.44, 95% CI 2.61-70.00, P = 0.003) were significantly with new-onset CS.

conclusionsHalf of patients admitted with AHF experience WHF or new-onset CS. Chronic kidney disease, tricuspid valve regurgitation, and elevated pro-adrenomedullin concentrations predict these events. They could potentially serve as early warning signs for further deterioration in AHF patients.

Indexed as

Heart FailureShock, CardiogenicAcute DiseaseAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHospital MortalityHumansMalePrognosisProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSurvival RateBiomarkersAcute heart failureCardiogenic shockPredictionPro‐adrenomedullinRiskWorsening heart failure

Identifiers

PMID38632837
PMCPMC11287305
OpenAlexW4394917785

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.