Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38764471›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in psychiatry2024

Construction of a machine learning-based risk prediction model for depression in middle-aged and elderly hypertensive people in China: a longitudinal study.

Fangzhu Ai, Enguang Li, Qiqi Ji, Huijun Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in psychiatry, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Fangzhu Ai *Department of Nursing, Jinzhou Medical University, Jinzhou, China.
Enguang Li *Department of Nursing, Jinzhou Medical University, Jinzhou, China.
Qiqi JiDepartment of Nursing, Jinzhou Medical University, Jinzhou, China.
Huijun ZhangDepartment of Nursing, Jinzhou Medical University, Jinzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Hypertension is a common chronic disease that can trigger symptoms such as anxiety and depression. Therefore, it is essential to predict their risk of depression. The aim of this study is to find the best prediction model and provide effective intervention strategies for health professionals. Methods: The study subjects were 2733 middle-aged and older adults who participated in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) between 2018 and 2020. R software was used for Lasso regression analysis to screen the best predictor variables, and logistic regression, random forest and XGBoost models were constructed. Finally, the prediction efficiency of the three models was compared. Results: In this study, 18 variables were included, and LASSO regression screened out 10 variables that were important for the establishment of the model. Among the three models, Logistic Regression model showed the best performance in various evaluation indicators. Conclusion: The prediction model based on machine learning can accurately assess the likelihood of depression in middle-aged and elderly patients with hypertension in the next three years. And by combining Logistic regression and nomograms, we were able to provide a clear interpretation of personalized risk predictions.

Indexed as

depressionhypertensionmachine learningmiddle-aged and elderlyprediction model

Identifiers

PMID38764471
PMCPMC11099225

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.