Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38786571›Full record

ArticleJournal of imaging2024

Bayesian Networks in the Management of Hospital Admissions: A Comparison between Explainable AI and Black Box AI during the Pandemic.

Giovanna Nicora, Michele Catalano, Chandra Bortolotto, Marina Francesca Achilli, Gaia Messana, Antonio Lo Tito, Alessio Consonni, Sara Cutti, Federico Comotto, Giulia Maria Stella and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of imaging, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Giovanna NicoraDepartment of Electrical, Computer and Biomedical Engineering, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Michele CatalanoDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0379-4665
Chandra BortolottoDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-9193-9309
Marina Francesca AchilliDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Gaia MessanaDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-3212-5305
Antonio Lo TitoDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Alessio ConsonniDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Sara CuttiMedical Direction, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Federico ComottoReply S.p.A. Corso Francia, 110, 10143 Turin, Italy.
Giulia Maria StellaDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Angelo CorsicoDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8716-4694
Stefano PerliniDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0320-8574
Riccardo BellazziDepartment of Electrical, Computer and Biomedical Engineering, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.
Raffaele BrunoDepartment of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0235-9207
Lorenzo PredaDiagnostic Imaging and Radiotherapy Unit, Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, 27100 Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-5479-2766

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) approaches that could learn from large data sources have been identified as useful tools to support clinicians in their decisional process; AI and ML implementations have had a rapid acceleration during the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, many ML classifiers are "black box" to the final user, since their underlying reasoning process is often obscure. Additionally, the performance of such models suffers from poor generalization ability in the presence of dataset shifts. Here, we present a comparison between an explainable-by-design ("white box") model (Bayesian Network (BN)) versus a black box model (Random Forest), both studied with the aim of supporting clinicians of Policlinico San Matteo University Hospital in Pavia (Italy) during the triage of COVID-19 patients. Our aim is to evaluate whether the BN predictive performances are comparable with those of a widely used but less explainable ML model such as Random Forest and to test the generalization ability of the ML models across different waves of the pandemic.

Indexed as

artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksCOVID-19explainabilitymachine learningRandom Forest

Identifiers

PMID38786571
PMCPMC11122655

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.