Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38813815›Full record

ArticleAnnals of medicine2024

Early prediction of acute gallstone pancreatitis severity: a novel machine learning model based on CT features and open access online prediction platform.

Yuhu Ma, Ping Yue, Jinduo Zhang, Jinqiu Yuan, Zhaoqing Liu, Zixian Chen, Hengwei Zhang, Chao Zhang, Yong Zhang, Chunlu Dong and 4 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05498961 (The Effect of Gallstone Characteristics for the Severity of Acute Gallstone Pancreatitis), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05498961 completednot on this map

The Effect of Gallstone Characteristics for the Severity of Acute Gallstone Pancreatitis

TypeobservationalSponsorHepatopancreatobiliary Surgery Institute of Gansu ProvinceRan2022 to 2023Enrolled301ConditionsAcute Gallstone PancreatitisArmsGallstone characteristics
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Yuhu MaDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Ping YueDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Jinduo ZhangDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Jinqiu YuanClinical Research Center, Big Data Center, The Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China.
Zhaoqing LiuSchool of Medical Information and Engineering, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Zixian ChenDepartment of Radiology, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Hengwei ZhangDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Chao ZhangDepartment of Orthopedics, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yong ZhangDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Chunlu DongDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yanyan LinDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yatao LiuDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Shuyan LiSchool of Medical Information and Engineering, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Wenbo MengDepartment of General Surgery, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly diagnosis of acute gallstone pancreatitis severity (GSP) is challenging in clinical practice. We aimed to investigate the efficacy of CT features and radiomics for the early prediction of acute GSP severity.

methodsWe retrospectively recruited GSP patients who underwent CT imaging within 48 h of admission from tertiary referral centre. Radiomics and CT features were extracted from CT scans. The clinical and CT features were selected by the random forest algorithm to develop the ML GSP model for the identification of severity of GSP (mild or severe), and its predictive efficacy was compared with radiomics model. The predictive performance was assessed by the area under operating characteristic curve. Calibration curve and decision curve analysis were performed to demonstrate the classification performance and clinical efficacy. Furthermore, we built a web-based open access GSP severity calculator. The study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05498961).

resultsA total of 301 patients were enrolled. They were randomly assigned into the training (

conclusionsWe built the ML GSP model based on clinical and CT image features and distributed it as a free web-based calculator. Our results indicated that the ML GSP model is useful for predicting the severity of GSP.

Indexed as

GallstonesMachine LearningPancreatitisSeverity of Illness IndexTomography, X-Ray ComputedAcute DiseaseAdultAgedAlgorithmsEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesCT featuresGallstone pancreatitispredictionradiomicsrandom forest

Identifiers

PMID38813815
PMCPMC11141304

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.