Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38900201›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of applied physiology2024

Predicting daily recovery during long-term endurance training using machine learning analysis.

Jeffrey A Rothschild, Tom Stewart, Andrew E Kilding, Daniel J Plews

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of applied physiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  13. Mapping HRV in sports science: from monitoring to machine learning.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jeffrey A RothschildSports Performance Research Institute New Zealand (SPRINZ), Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand. Jeffrey.Rothschild@aut.ac.nz.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0014-5878
Tom StewartSports Performance Research Institute New Zealand (SPRINZ), Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand.
Andrew E KildingSports Performance Research Institute New Zealand (SPRINZ), Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5334-8831
Daniel J PlewsSports Performance Research Institute New Zealand (SPRINZ), Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe aim of this study was to determine if machine learning models could predict the perceived morning recovery status (AM PRS) and daily change in heart rate variability (HRV change) of endurance athletes based on training, dietary intake, sleep, HRV, and subjective well-being measures.

methodsSelf-selected nutrition intake, exercise training, sleep habits, HRV, and subjective well-being of 43 endurance athletes ranging from professional to recreationally trained were monitored daily for 12 weeks (3572 days of tracking). Global and individualized models were constructed using machine learning techniques, with the single best algorithm chosen for each model. The model performance was compared with a baseline intercept-only model.

resultsPrediction error (root mean square error [RMSE]) was lower than baseline for the group models (11.8 vs. 14.1 and 0.22 vs. 0.29 for AM PRS and HRV change, respectively). At the individual level, prediction accuracy outperformed the baseline model but varied greatly across participants (RMSE range 5.5-23.6 and 0.05-0.44 for AM PRS and HRV change, respectively).

conclusionAt the group level, daily recovery measures can be predicted based on commonly measured variables, with a small subset of variables providing most of the predictive power. However, at the individual level, the key variables may vary, and additional data may be needed to improve the prediction accuracy.

Indexed as

Endurance TrainingHeart RateMachine LearningAdultFemaleHumansMalePhysical EnduranceSleepCyclingHRVNutritionRunningSleepTraining load monitoringTriathlon

Identifiers

PMID38900201
PMCPMC11519101

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.