Evidence mapPaperPMID 38940851Full record

ArticleDiabetes care2024

Genome-Wide Polygenic Risk Score Predicts Incident Type 2 Diabetes in Women With History of Gestational Diabetes.

Jaewon Choi, Hyunsuk Lee, Alan Kuang, Alicia Huerta-Chagoya, Denise M Scholtens, Daeho Choi, Minseok Han, William L Lowe, Alisa K Manning, Hak Chul Jang and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes care, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Genetic basis of Asian diabetes.Journal of diabetes investigation · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Real-World Utility of GWAS-Based Diabetes Mellitus Panel Testing.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Jaewon ChoiDivision of Data Science Research, Innovative Biomedical Technology Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-3735-625X
Hyunsuk LeeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital and Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9751-5868
Alan KuangDepartment of Preventive Medicine (Biostatistics), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
Alicia Huerta-ChagoyaCenter for Genomic Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
Denise M ScholtensDepartment of Preventive Medicine (Biostatistics), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
Daeho ChoiSeoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Minseok HanSeoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
William L LoweDepartment of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.ORCID 0000-0001-9467-3422
Alisa K ManningDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Hak Chul JangDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital and Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-4188-6536
Kyong Soo ParkDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital and Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Soo Heon KwakDivision of Data Science Research, Innovative Biomedical Technology Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1230-0919

Funding

Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcome (HAPO)R01HD034243 · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY · 1999 to 2005
$11.4M
HAPO: DATA COORDINATING CENTERR01HD034242 · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY · 1999 to 2005
$2.3M
Development of Polygenic Risk Scores for Diabetes and Complications across the Life-Span in Populations of Multiple AncestriesU01HG011723 · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · 2025 to 2025
$949k
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development R01-HD-34242Korean Ministry of Food and Drug Safety grant 23212MFDS202Korean Ministry of Science and ICT RS-2023-00262002NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG011723NHGRI NIH HHS U01HG011723NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD034242NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD034243NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK117491NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK094830NIDDK NIH HHS U01DK094830
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWomen with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are at increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2D). It remains unclear whether genetic information improves prediction of incident T2D in these women. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsUsing five independent cohorts representing four different ancestries (n = 1,895), we investigated whether a genome-wide T2D polygenic risk score (PRS) is associated with increased risk of incident T2D. We also calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) and continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) following the incorporation of T2D PRS into clinical risk models to assess the diagnostic utility.

resultsAmong 1,895 women with previous history of GDM, 363 (19.2%) developed T2D in a range of 2 to 30 years. T2D PRS was higher in those who developed T2D (-0.08 vs. 0.31, P = 2.3 × 10-11) and was associated with an increased risk of incident T2D (odds ratio 1.52 per 1-SD increase, 95% CI 1.05-2.21, P = 0.03). In a model that includes age, family history of diabetes, systolic blood pressure, and BMI, the incorporation of PRS led to an increase in AUROC for T2D from 0.71 to 0.74 and an intermediate improvement of NRI (0.32, 95% CI 0.15-0.49, P = 3.0 × 10-4). Although there was variation, a similar trend was observed across study cohorts.

conclusionsIn cohorts of GDM women with diverse ancestry, T2D PRS was significantly associated with future development of T2D. A significant but small improvement was observed in AUROC when T2D PRS was integrated into clinical risk models to predict incident T2D.

Indexed as

Diabetes, GestationalDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Genome-Wide Association StudyAdultFemaleGenetic Risk ScoreHumansMiddle AgedMultifactorial InheritancePregnancyRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38940851
PMCPMC11362128

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.