Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38955868›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2024

Development and validation of a predictive model for vertebral fracture risk in osteoporosis patients.

Jun Zhang, Liang Xia, Xueli Zhang, Jiayi Liu, Jun Tang, Jianguo Xia, Yongkang Liu, Weixiao Zhang, Zhipeng Liang, Guangyu Tang and 1 more

Abstract readValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Review
  6. Article
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  8. Review
  9. Emerging applications of feature selection in osteoporosis research: from biomarker discovery to clinical decision support.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2025
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jun Zhang *Department of Radiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Nanjing Medical University, 301 Middle Yanchang Road, Shanghai, 200072, People's Republic of China.
Liang Xia *Department of Radiology, Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, 109 Longmian Road, Nanjing, 211002, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China. xialiangmr@126.com.
Xueli Zhang *Department of Radiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, 301 Middle Yanchang Road, Shanghai, 200072, People's Republic of China.
Jiayi LiuDepartment of Radiology, Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, 109 Longmian Road, Nanjing, 211002, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Jun TangDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, 366 Taihu Road, Taizhou, 225300, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Jianguo XiaDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, 366 Taihu Road, Taizhou, 225300, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China. shjxct@163.com.
Yongkang LiuDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, 155 Hanzhong Road, Nanjing, 210004, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Weixiao ZhangDepartment of Radiology, Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, 109 Longmian Road, Nanjing, 211002, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Zhipeng LiangDepartment of Radiology, Sir Run Run Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, 109 Longmian Road, Nanjing, 211002, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
Guangyu TangDepartment of Radiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Nanjing Medical University, 301 Middle Yanchang Road, Shanghai, 200072, People's Republic of China. tgy17@tongji.edu.cn.
Lin ZhangDepartment of Radiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, 301 Middle Yanchang Road, Shanghai, 200072, People's Republic of China. lynn122500@126.com.

Funding

Medical Imaging Artificial Intelligence Special Research Fund Project, Nanjing Medical Association Radiology Branch No.16Medical Imaging Artificial Intelligence Special Research Fund Project, Nanjing Medical Association Radiology Branch No.9the Science and Technology Innovation Action Project of Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (STCSM) 20Y11911800
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aimed to develop and validate a predictive model for osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs) risk by integrating demographic, bone mineral density (BMD), CT imaging, and deep learning radiomics features from CT images.

methodsA total of 169 osteoporosis-diagnosed patients from three hospitals were randomly split into OVFs (n = 77) and Non-OVFs (n = 92) groups for training (n = 135) and test (n = 34). Demographic data, BMD, and CT imaging details were collected. Deep transfer learning (DTL) using ResNet-50 and radiomics features were fused, with the best model chosen via logistic regression. Cox proportional hazards models identified clinical factors. Three models were constructed: clinical, radiomics-DTL, and fusion (clinical-radiomics-DTL). Performance was assessed using AUC, C-index, Kaplan-Meier, and calibration curves. The best model was depicted as a nomogram, and clinical utility was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsBMD, CT values of paravertebral muscles (PVM), and paravertebral muscles' cross-sectional area (CSA) significantly differed between OVFs and Non-OVFs groups (P < 0.05). No significant differences were found between training and test cohort. Multivariate Cox models identified BMD, CT values of PVM, and CSA

conclusionThis study presents a robust predictive model for OVFs risk, integrating BMD, CT data, and radiomics-DTL features, offering high sensitivity and specificity. The model's visualizations can inform OVFs prevention and treatment strategies.

Indexed as

Bone DensityOsteoporosisOsteoporotic FracturesSpinal FracturesTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedAged, 80 and overDeep LearningFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsComputed tomographyDeep learningFracture risk predictionOsteoporotic vertebral fracturesRadiomicsX-ray computed

Identifiers

PMID38955868

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.