Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39012871›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Explainable machine learning on baseline MRI predicts multiple sclerosis trajectory descriptors.

Silvia Campanioni, César Veiga, José María Prieto-González, José A González-Nóvoa, Laura Busto, Carlos Martinez, Miguel Alberte-Woodward, Jesús García de Soto, Jessica Pouso-Diz, María de Los Ángeles Fernández Ceballos and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Mechanistic Insights into the Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Diagnosis and Management of Multiple Sclerosis.Pathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. From lesion detection to outcome prediction: artificial intelligence and deep learning applications in multiple sclerosis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Silvia CampanioniGalicia Sur Health Research Institute (IIS Galicia Sur), Cardiovascular Research Group, Vigo, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-9088-1336
César VeigaGalicia Sur Health Research Institute (IIS Galicia Sur), Cardiovascular Research Group, Vigo, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-4165-5049
José María Prieto-GonzálezHealth Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Translational Research in Neurological Diseases Group, Santiago University Hospital Complex, SERGAS-USC, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8170-0724
José A González-NóvoaGalicia Sur Health Research Institute (IIS Galicia Sur), Cardiovascular Research Group, Vigo, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-2334-1556
Laura BustoGalicia Sur Health Research Institute (IIS Galicia Sur), Cardiovascular Research Group, Vigo, Spain.
Carlos MartinezGalicia Sur Health Research Institute (IIS Galicia Sur), Cardiovascular Research Group, Vigo, Spain.
Miguel Alberte-WoodwardHealth Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Translational Research in Neurological Diseases Group, Santiago University Hospital Complex, SERGAS-USC, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7537-8740
Jesús García de SotoHealth Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Translational Research in Neurological Diseases Group, Santiago University Hospital Complex, SERGAS-USC, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1774-4922
Jessica Pouso-DizHealth Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Translational Research in Neurological Diseases Group, Santiago University Hospital Complex, SERGAS-USC, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
María de Los Ángeles Fernández CeballosHealth Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Translational Research in Neurological Diseases Group, Santiago University Hospital Complex, SERGAS-USC, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
Roberto Carlos Agis-BalboaHealth Research Institute of Santiago de Compostela (IDIS), Translational Research in Neurological Diseases Group, Santiago University Hospital Complex, SERGAS-USC, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9899-9569

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a multifaceted neurological condition characterized by challenges in timely diagnosis and personalized patient management. The application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to MS holds promises for early detection, accurate diagnosis, and predictive modeling. The objectives of this study are: 1) to propose new MS trajectory descriptors that could be employed in Machine Learning (ML) regressors and classifiers to predict patient evolution; 2) to explore the contribution of ML models in discerning MS trajectory descriptors using only baseline Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) studies. This study involved 446 MS patients who had a baseline MRI, at least two measurements of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and a 1-year follow-up. Patients were divided into two groups: 1) for model development and 2) for evaluation. Three descriptors: β1, β2, and EDSS(t), were related to baseline MRI parameters using regression and classification XGBoost models. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis enhanced model transparency by identifying influential features. The results of this study demonstrate the potential of AI in predicting MS progression using the proposed patient trajectories and baseline MRI scans, outperforming classic Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) methods. In conclusion, MS trajectory descriptors are crucial; incorporating AI analysis into MRI assessments presents promising opportunities to advance predictive capabilities. SHAP analysis enhances model interpretation, revealing feature importance for clinical decisions.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionMachine LearningMagnetic Resonance ImagingMultiple SclerosisAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID39012871
PMCPMC11251627

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.