Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39014500›Full record

ArticleMolecular autism2024

Mate selection and current trends in the prevalence of autism.

Elizabeth Forsen, Natasha Marrus, Jacqueline Joyce, Yi Zhang, John N Constantino

Abstract readTwin Study
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular autism, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Elizabeth ForsenWashington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Natasha MarrusDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Jacqueline JoyceEmory University, Atalanta, GA, 30322, USA.
Yi ZhangDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
John N ConstantinoDepartment of Behavioral and Mental Health, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atalanta, GA, 30322, USA. John.Constantino@choa.org.

Funding

Washington University Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities Research Center-Administrative Down Syndrome SupplementU54HD087011 · NICHD · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI CONSTANTINO, JOHN N. · 2015 to 2019
$7.1M
Developmental Neuroscience and Child PsychopathologyT32MH100019 · NIMH · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Deanna Barch, JOAN L. LUBY · 2013 to 2026
$4.8M
Early Quantitative Characterization of Reciprocal Social BehaviorR01HD068479 · NICHD · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI CONSTANTINO, JOHN N. · 2012 to 2016
$2.7M
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development HD068479NICHD NIH HHS U54 HD087011NIMH NIH HHS MH100019
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccording to the most recent U.S. CDC surveillance data, the rise in prevalence of childhood autism spectrum disorder among minority children has begun to outpace that of non-Hispanic white children. Since prior research has identified possible differences in the extent of mate selection for autistic traits across families of different ethnicity, this study examined variation in autism related traits in contemporaneous, epidemiologically ascertained samples of spousal pairs representing Hispanic and non-Hispanic white populations. The purpose was to determine whether discrepancies by ethnicity could contribute to differential increases in prevalence in the current generation of young children.

methodsBirth records were used to identify all twin pairs born between 2011 and 2013 in California and Missouri. Families were selected at random from pools of English-speaking Hispanic families in California and Non-Hispanic White families in Missouri. Autistic trait data of parents was obtained using the Adult Report Form of the Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS-2).

resultsWe did not identify a statistically significant difference in the degree of mate selection for autism related traits between Hispanic and non-Hispanic white spousal pairs. However, the degree of spousal correlation observed in this recent cohort was pronounced (on the order of ICC 0.45) and exceeded that typically reported in prior research (on the order of 0.30), surpassing also widely reported estimates for sibling correlation (also on the order of 0.30). LIMITATIONS: The sample did not allow for a direct appraisal of change in the magnitude of spousal correlation over time and the ascertainments of trait burden were derived from spouse report.

conclusionAcross two epidemiologically ascertained samples of spousal pairs representing Hispanic and non-Hispanic white families across two U.S. states (respectively, California and Missouri), the extent of autism-related trait co-variation for parents of the current generation of young children is substantial and exceeds correlations typically observed for siblings. Given the heritability of these traits and their relation to autism risk, societal trends in the degree of mate selection for these traits should be considered as possible contributors to subtle increases in the incidence of autism over time and across generations.

Indexed as

Autistic DisorderHispanic or LatinoAdultCaliforniaChildFemaleHumansMaleMissouriPrevalenceWhiteAssortative matingAutismAutism prevalenceMate selectionRacial and ethnic minorities

Identifiers

PMID39014500
PMCPMC11251233

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.