Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39048087›Full record

ArticleClinical and experimental pediatrics2024

Construction and validation of predictive models for intravenous immunoglobulin-resistant Kawasaki disease using an interpretable machine learning approach.

Linfan Deng, Jian Zhao, Ting Wang, Bin Liu, Jun Jiang, Peng Jia, Dong Liu, Gang Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical and experimental pediatrics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Linfan DengDepartment of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Jian ZhaoDepartment of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Ting WangDepartment of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Bin LiuDepartment of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Jun JiangDepartment of General Surgery (Thyroid Surgery), The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Peng JiaDepartment of Pediatrics, Zigong First People's Hospital, Zigong, China.
Dong LiuDepartment of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Gang LiDepartment of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.

Funding

Luzhou Municipal People's Government-Southwest Medical University Science and Technology strategic cooperation 2023LZXNYDJ042Sichuan Science and Technology Program 2022YFS0627
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIntravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG)-resistant Kawasaki disease is associated with coronary artery lesion development. PURPOSE: This study aimed to explore the factors associated with IVIG-resistance and construct and validate an interpretable machine learning (ML) prediction model in clinical practice.

methodsBetween December 2014 and November 2022, 602 patients were screened and risk factors for IVIG-resistance investigated. Five ML models are used to establish an optimal prediction model. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to interpret the ML model.

resultsNa+, hemoglobin (Hb), C-reactive protein (CRP), and globulin were independent risk factors for IVIG-resistance. A nonlinear relationship was identified between globulin level and IVIG-resistance. The XGBoost model exhibited excellent performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.821, accuracy of 0.748, sensitivity of 0.889, and specificity of 0.683 in the testing set. The XGBoost model was interpreted globally and locally using the SHAP method.

conclusionNa+, Hb, CRP, and globulin levels were independently associated with IVIG-resistance. Our findings demonstrate that ML models can reliably predict IVIG-resistance. Moreover, use of the SHAP method to interpret the established XGBoost model's findings would provide evidence of IVIG-resistance and guide the individualized treatment of Kawasaki disease.

Indexed as

Intravenous immunoglobulin resistanceKawasaki diseaseMachine learningSHapley Additive exPlanations

Identifiers

PMID39048087
PMCPMC11298769

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.