Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39078716›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2025

Autoantibodies to joint-related peptides as predictive markers in early rheumatoid arthritis.

Monica Leu Agelii, Outi Sareila, Erik Lönnblom, Lei Cheng, Kristina Forslind, Ingiäld Hafström, Maria L E Andersson, Alf Kastbom, Christopher Sjöwall, Lennart T H Jacobsson and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Monica Leu AgeliiRheumatology and Inflammation Research, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4013-7549
Outi SareilaRheumatology and Inflammation Research, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-5644-8216
Erik LönnblomMedical Inflammation Research, Division of Immunology, Department of Medical Biochemistry and Biophysics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1311-2541
Lei ChengMedical Inflammation Research, Division of Immunology, Department of Medical Biochemistry and Biophysics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Kristina ForslindDepartment of Clinical Sciences Lund, Section of Rheumatology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Ingiäld HafströmDepartment of Medicine Huddinge, Division of Gastroenterology and Rheumatology, and Karolinska University Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Maria L E AnderssonSpenshult Research and Development Center, Halmstad, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-0217-5029
Alf KastbomDepartment of Rheumatology in Östergötland, Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7187-1477
Christopher SjöwallDepartment of Rheumatology in Östergötland, Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-0900-2048
Lennart T H JacobssonRheumatology and Inflammation Research, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4402-148X
Jan KihlbergDepartment of Chemistry-BMC, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Rikard HolmdahlMedical Inflammation Research, Division of Immunology, Department of Medical Biochemistry and Biophysics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Inger GjertssonRheumatology and Inflammation Research, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9301-4844

Funding

AstraZenecaFoundation for Assistance to Disabled People in SkåneGustafsson FoundationKing Gustaf V and Queen Victoria's Freemasons FoundationKing Gustav V 80-year foundation FAI-2022-0876Leo Foundation LF-OC-22-001023Patient Association for Rheumatic Diseases RR-982095Region ÖstergötlandSweden's Innovation Agency 2019-03060Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research RB13-0156Swedish government and the county council ALFGBG-719631The Swedish Research Council 2016-01576
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveFor better management of RA, new biomarkers are needed to predict the development of different disease courses. This study aims to identify autoantibodies against epitopes on proteins in the joints and to predict disease outcome in patients with new onset RA.

methodsSera from new-onset RA patients from the Swedish BARFOT (Better Anti Rheumatic PharmacOTherapy) and TIRA-2 (Swedish acronym for 'tidiga insatser vid reumatoid artrit') cohorts (n = 1986) were screened for autoantibodies to selected peptides (JointIDs) in a bead-based multiplex flow immunoassay. Disease outcomes included Boolean remission 1.0, swollen joint count and radiographic destruction. Multivariate logistic regression and zero-inflated negative binomial models that accounted for clinical factors were used to identify JointIDs with the strongest potential to predict prognosis.

resultsBoolean remission was predicted with 42% sensitivity and 75% specificity in male patients positive for antibodies to a non-modified collagen type II (COL2) peptide at 12 months. When antibodies to a specific citrullinated cartilage oligomeric protein (COMP) peptide were absent and the patient was in Boolean remission at 6 months, the sensitivity was 13% and the specificity 99%. Positivity for the non-modified COL2 peptide also reduced the frequency of swollen joints by 41% and 33% at 6 and 12 months, respectively. Antibodies to CCP predicted joint destruction with low specificity (58%). Positivity for a COL2 and a glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase peptide in citrullinated forms increased specificity (86%) at the expense of sensitivity (39%).

conclusionAutoantibodies against joint-related proteins at RA diagnosis predict remission with high specificity and, in combination with clinical factors, may guide future treatment decisions.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidAutoantibodiesCollagen Type IIAdultAgedBiomarkersCartilage Oligomeric Matrix ProteinFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRemission InductionSensitivity and SpecificityAutoantibodiesBiomarkersCartilage Oligomeric Matrix ProteinCollagen Type IITSP5 protein, humanautoantibodiesjoint destructionprognosisremissionrheumatoid arthritis

Identifiers

PMID39078716
PMCPMC11962870

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.