Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39193834›Full record

Trial reportESC heart failure2024

Predictive value of NT pro BNP for new-onset atrial fibrillation in heart failure and preserved ejection fraction.

Xiao Liu, Sixu Chen, Hong Pan, Zenghui Zhang, Yue Wang, Yuan Jiang, Maoxiong Wu, Zhiteng Chen, Ayiguli Abudukeremu, Zhengyu Cao and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in ESC heart failure, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Thrombaxane-B2 as a predictor marker of atrial fibrillation.International journal of cardiology. Cardiovascular risk and prevention · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Blocked Atrial Bigeminy as an Unusual Cause of Bradycardia: A Case Report.International medical case reports journal · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Xiao LiuDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Sixu ChenDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Hong PanDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Zenghui ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yue WangDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuan JiangDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Maoxiong WuDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Zhiteng ChenDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Ayiguli AbudukeremuDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Zhengyu CaoDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Qingyuan GaoDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Minghai ZhangDepartment of Emergency, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Wengen ZhuDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yangxin ChenDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuling ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8805-5249
Jingfeng WangDepartment of Cardiology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.

Funding

Guangzhou Municipal Science and Technology Bureau 202102010007National Natural Science Foundation of China 81970200National Natural Science Foundation of China 82070237National Natural Science Foundation of China 82271609
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe prognostic significance of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has been well established. HFpEF and atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly coexist, and each contributes to poor outcomes independently. Nevertheless, the ability of NT-proBNP to predict AF in HFpEF patients remains uncertain. METHODS AND

resultsA total of 367 HFpEF patients without baseline AF from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial were included. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association of NT-proBNP with the risk of AF. The C-statistic, categorical net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to evaluate the ability of NT-proBNP in new-onset AF prediction. During a median follow-up of 2.91 years, 17 (4.63%) new-onset AF cases occurred. Every 1000 pg/mL increase in NT-proBNP was associated with a 16% increase in the risk of AF occurrence after adjustments (hazard ratio, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.02-1.32]). NT-proBNP showed a moderate performance for new-onset AF at 3 years (C-statistic, 0.67). Adding NT-proBNP to CHADS

conclusionsAmong patients with HFpEF, the NT-proBNP level was positively associated with the incidence of new-onset AF and may be a promising predictor.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationBiomarkersHeart FailureNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsStroke VolumeAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRisk AssessmentBiomarkersNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)Atrial fibrillationHFpEFNT‐proBNPPrediction

Identifiers

PMID39193834
PMCPMC11631295

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.