Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39210212›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of clinical pharmacology2024

Fixed parameters in the population pharmacokinetic modeling of valproic acid might not be suitable: external validation in Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery.

Ruoyun Wu, Kai Li, Zhigang Zhao, Shenghui Mei

Abstract readValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of clinical pharmacology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ruoyun WuDepartment of Pharmacy, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.119 South Fourth Ring West Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100070, People's Republic of China.
Kai LiDepartment of Pharmacy, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.119 South Fourth Ring West Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100070, People's Republic of China.
Zhigang ZhaoDepartment of Pharmacy, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.119 South Fourth Ring West Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100070, People's Republic of China. 1022zzg@sina.com.
Shenghui MeiDepartment of Pharmacy, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.119 South Fourth Ring West Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100070, People's Republic of China. meishenghui1983@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aims to assess the predictive performance of published valproic acid (VPA) population pharmacokinetic (PPK) models using an external data set in Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery.

methodsA total of 384 concentrations from 290 Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery were used for external validation. Data on published VPA PPK models were extracted from the literature. Prediction-based diagnostics (such as F20 and F30), simulation-based diagnostics, and Bayesian forecasting were used to evaluate the predictability of models.

resultsThe results of prediction-based diagnostics of all models were unsatisfactory. Models B, F, and H showed the best prediction performance in simulation-based diagnostics and Bayesian forecasting, demonstrating superior precision and accuracy. Bayesian forecasting demonstrated significant improvements in the model predictability.

conclusionThe published PPK models showed extensive variation in predictive performance for extrapolation among Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery patients. Fixed parameters of Vd and Ka in the PPK modeling of VPA might be the reason for the unsatisfied predictive performance. Bayesian forecasting significantly improved model predictability and may help to individualize VPA dosing.

Indexed as

AnticonvulsantsBayes TheoremEpilepsyModels, BiologicalValproic AcidAdultAgedChinaEast Asian PeopleFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeurosurgical ProceduresYoung AdultAnticonvulsantsValproic AcidNonlinear mixed effects modelingPopulation pharmacokineticTherapeutic drug monitoringValproic acid

Identifiers

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.