Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39283704›Full record

SynthesisNutrition reviews2025

Prospects of Food Taxes for Planetary Health: A Systematic Review of Modeling Studies.

Ágota Mészáros, Norbert Dósa, Anna Péterfi, Krisztián Horváth, Zsófia Szarvas, Jeremiás M Balogh, Balázs Munkácsy, Zoltán Vokó

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Nutrition reviews, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ágota MészárosDepartment of Public Health, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0003-3418-1527
Norbert DósaDepartment of Public Health, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0009-0004-1111-0771
Anna PéterfiDepartment of Public Health, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.
Krisztián HorváthDepartment of Public Health, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0001-5340-1287
Zsófia SzarvasDepartment of Public Health, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0002-0022-5053
Jeremiás M BaloghDepartment of Agricultural Economics, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0001-9081-0071
Balázs MunkácsyBudapest Institute for Policy Analysis, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0001-7561-0514
Zoltán VokóCenter for Health Technology Assessment, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0002-1004-1848

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe aim of this study was to analyze the modeling methodologies of fiscal policies on food with health or environmental outcomes.

backgroundEvidence suggests that fiscal policies on food can contribute to addressing the growing burden of noncommunicable diseases and climate change. These policies should be modeled in advance to see the implications for the environment and health.

methodsA systematic review was conducted of studies that modeled fiscal policies on the food groups targeted by the EAT-Lancet Commission and examined their health or environmental outcomes. The Scopus and PubMed databases were searched on November 30, 2021. The records were double-screened and data on modeling methods were extracted from the included studies.

resultsA total of 55 studies were included in the review. The most frequently modeled interventions were fruit and vegetable subsidies (n = 19) and carbon taxes on food (n = 17). One study also included a consumer education campaign to enhance the effect of fiscal policy. The outcomes are highly sensitive to consumption change and price elasticities. None of the studies modeled the health effects of environmental outcomes.

conclusionsA model that covered all the relevant aspects of the issue was not found. Some parts were missing from all the included models. It is advisable to model the stability of the amount of diet consumed, either by keeping the amount of food in the diet stable or by taking a more conservative approach and keeping the consumed calories stable. It is preferable to keep the included diseases and environmental boundaries broad to have more valid outcome estimates on this complex issue. A more comprehensive understanding of fiscal policies would allow us to better anticipate the impact of our actions and inactions and thus could lead to more sophisticated measures taken by policymakers. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration no. 2022 CRD42022291945/.

Indexed as

FoodNutrition PolicyTaxesClimate ChangeHumansModels, Theoreticaldiet changefood taxmodeling studyplanetary healthpublic health nutrition

Identifiers

PMID39283704
PMCPMC11879128

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.