Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39331236›Full record

ArticleClinical pharmacokinetics2024

Selecting the Best Pharmacokinetic Models for a Priori Model-Informed Precision Dosing with Model Ensembling.

Bram C Agema, Tolra Kocher, Ayşenur B Öztürk, Eline L Giraud, Nielka P van Erp, Brenda C M de Winter, Ron H J Mathijssen, Stijn L W Koolen, Birgit C P Koch, Sebastiaan D T Sassen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical pharmacokinetics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Bayesian Workflow for Minimal PBPK Models: Case Study of Dapagliflozin.CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Bram C AgemaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1825-2911
Tolra KocherDepartment of Hospital Pharmacy, Erasmus University Medical Center, Dr. Molewaterplein 40, 3015 GD, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Ayşenur B ÖztürkDepartment of Hospital Pharmacy, Erasmus University Medical Center, Dr. Molewaterplein 40, 3015 GD, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Eline L GiraudDepartment of Pharmacy, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Nielka P van ErpDepartment of Pharmacy, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Brenda C M de WinterRotterdam Clinical Pharmacometrics Group, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Ron H J MathijssenDepartment of Medical Oncology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Stijn L W KoolenDepartment of Medical Oncology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Birgit C P KochRotterdam Clinical Pharmacometrics Group, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Sebastiaan D T SassenRotterdam Clinical Pharmacometrics Group, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. s.sassen@erasmusmc.nl.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveWhen utilizing population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models for a priori dosage individualization, selecting the best model is crucial to obtain adequate doses. We developed and evaluated several model-selection and ensembling methods, using external evaluation on the basis of therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) samples to identify the best (set of) models per patient for a priori dosage individualization.

methodsPK data and models describing both hospitalized patients (n = 134) receiving continuous vancomycin (26 models) and patients (n = 92) receiving imatinib in an outpatient setting (12 models) are included. Target attainment of four model-selection methods was compared with standard dosing: the best model based on external validation, uninformed model ensembling, model ensembling using a weighting scheme on the basis of covariate-stratified external evaluation, and model selection using covariates in decision trees that were subsequently ensembled.

resultsOverall, the use of PK models improved the proportion of patients exposed to concentrations within the therapeutic window for both cohorts. Relative improvement of proportion on target for best model, unweighted, weighted, and decision trees were - 7.0%, 2.3%, 11.4%, and 37.0% (vancomycin method-development); 23.2%, 7.9%, 15.6%, and, 77.2% (vancomycin validation); 40.7%, 50.0%, 59.5%, and 59.5% (imatinib method-development); and 19.0%, 28.5%, 38.0%, and 23.8% (imatinib validation), respectively.

conclusionsThe best (set of) models per patient for a priori dosage individualization can be identified using a relatively small set of TDM samples as external evaluation. Adequately performing popPK models were identified while also excluding poor-performing models. Dose recommendations resulted in more patients within the therapeutic range for both vancomycin and imatinib. Prospective validation is necessary before clinical implementation.

Indexed as

Drug MonitoringImatinib MesylateModels, BiologicalVancomycinAdultAgedAnti-Bacterial AgentsDose-Response Relationship, DrugFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrecision MedicineAnti-Bacterial AgentsImatinib MesylateVancomycin

Identifiers

PMID39331236
PMCPMC11522197

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.