Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39333314›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2024

The economic value of reducing mortality due to noncommunicable diseases and injuries.

Stéphane Verguet, Sarah Bolongaita, Angela Y Chang, Diego S Cardoso, Gretchen A Stevens

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. The Economic Value of Reducing Asthma Mortality in 64 Countries, 2000-2022, With Projections up to 2040: A Global Modelling Study.Clinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Stéphane VerguetDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. verguet@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4128-0849
Sarah BolongaitaDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0886-0454
Angela Y ChangDanish Institute for Advanced Study, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3947-3588
Diego S CardosoDepartment of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6781-1025
Gretchen A StevensIndependent researcher, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With population aging, national health systems face difficult trade-offs in allocating resources. The World Bank launched the Healthy Longevity Initiative to generate evidence for investing in policies that can improve healthy longevity and human capital. As part of this initiative, we quantified the economic value of reducing avoidable mortality from major noncommunicable diseases and injuries. We estimated avoidable mortality-the difference between lowest-achieved mortality frontiers and projected mortality trajectories-for each cause of death, for 2000, 2019 and 2050, and for geographic regions, with high-income countries, India and China considered separately; we applied economic values to these estimates. The economic value of reducing cardiovascular disease avoidable mortality would be large for both sexes in all regions, reaching 2-8% of annual income in 2019. For cancers, it would be 5-6% of annual income in high-income countries and China, and for injuries, it would be around 5% in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean. Despite the large uncertainty surrounding our estimates, we offer economic values for reducing avoidable mortality by cause and metrics comparable to annual incomes, which enable multisectoral priority setting and are relevant for high-level policy discussions around budget and resource allocations.

Indexed as

Noncommunicable DiseasesWounds and InjuriesCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathFemaleGlobal HealthHumansMaleNeoplasms

Identifiers

PMID39333314
PMCPMC11564085

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.