Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39350987›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastrointestinal oncology2024

Construction and evaluation of a liver cancer risk prediction model based on machine learning.

Ying-Ying Wang, Wan-Xia Yang, Qia-Jun Du, Zhen-Hua Liu, Ming-Hua Lu, Chong-Ge You

Abstract read
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Article in World journal of gastrointestinal oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ying-Ying WangLaboratory Medicine Center, The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu Province, China.
Wan-Xia YangLaboratory Medicine Center, The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu Province, China.
Qia-Jun DuLaboratory Medicine Center, The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu Province, China.
Zhen-Hua LiuLaboratory Medicine Center, The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu Province, China.
Ming-Hua LuLaboratory Medicine Center, The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu Province, China.
Chong-Ge YouLaboratory Medicine Center, The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730030, Gansu Province, China. youchg@lzu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLiver cancer is one of the most prevalent malignant tumors worldwide, and its early detection and treatment are crucial for enhancing patient survival rates and quality of life. However, the early symptoms of liver cancer are often not obvious, resulting in a late-stage diagnosis in many patients, which significantly reduces the effectiveness of treatment. Developing a highly targeted, widely applicable, and practical risk prediction model for liver cancer is crucial for enhancing the early diagnosis and long-term survival rates among affected individuals.

aimTo develop a liver cancer risk prediction model by employing machine learning techniques, and subsequently assess its performance.

methodsIn this study, a total of 550 patients were enrolled, with 190 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 195 cirrhosis patients serving as the training cohort, and 83 HCC and 82 cirrhosis patients forming the validation cohort. Logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression models were developed in the training cohort. Model performance was assessed in the validation cohort. Additionally, this study conducted a comparative evaluation of the diagnostic efficacy between the ASAP model and the model developed in this study using receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to determine the optimal predictive model for assessing liver cancer risk.

resultsSix variables including age, white blood cell, red blood cell, platelet counts, alpha-fetoprotein and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II levels were used to develop LR, SVM, RF, and LASSO regression models. The RF model exhibited superior discrimination, and the area under curve of the training and validation sets was 0.969 and 0.858, respectively. These values significantly surpassed those of the LR (0.850 and 0.827), SVM (0.860 and 0.803), LASSO regression (0.845 and 0.831), and ASAP (0.866 and 0.813) models. Furthermore, calibration and DCA indicated that the RF model exhibited robust calibration and clinical validity.

conclusionThe RF model demonstrated excellent prediction capabilities for HCC and can facilitate early diagnosis of HCC in clinical practice.

Indexed as

CirrhosisHepatocellular carcinomaMachine learningPrediction modelRandom forest

Identifiers

PMID39350987
PMCPMC11438789

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.