Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39352932›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Estimates of actual and potential lives saved in the United States from the use of COVID-19 convalescent plasma.

Quigly Dragotakes, Patrick W Johnson, Matthew R Buras, Rickey E Carter, Michael J Joyner, Evan Bloch, Kelly A Gebo, Daniel F Hanley, Jeffrey P Henderson, Liise-Anne Pirofski and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Profile of Arturo Casadevall.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Quigly DragotakesDepartment of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Patrick W JohnsonDivision of Clinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224.
Matthew R BurasDivision of Biostatistics and Clinical Trials, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Scottsdale, AZ 85259.
Rickey E CarterDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224.ORCID 0000-0002-0818-273X
Michael J JoynerDepartment of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905.ORCID 0000-0002-7135-7643
Evan BlochDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Kelly A GeboDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Daniel F HanleyDepartment of Neurology, Brain Injury Outcomes Division, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Jeffrey P HendersonDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Washington University School of Medicine, Louis, St. Louis, MO 63110.ORCID 0000-0003-1755-3202
Liise-Anne PirofskiDivision of Infectious Diseases, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, NY 10461.
Shmuel ShohamDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.ORCID 0000-0001-7276-7786
Jonathon W SenefeldDepartment of Health and Kinesiology, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801.
Aaron A R TobianDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Chad C WigginsDepartment of Kinesiology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48823.
R Scott WrightDepartments of Cardiovascular Medicine and Human Research Protection Program, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905.
Nigel S PanethDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48823.
David J SullivanDepartment of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205.ORCID 0000-0003-0319-0578
Arturo CasadevallDepartment of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205.ORCID 0000-0002-9402-9167

Funding

Training: Molecular & Cellular Bases of Infectious DiseasesT32AI007417 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Arturo Casadevall · 1994 to 2026
$11.9M
NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007417
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the Spring of 2020, the United States of America (USA) deployed COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) to treat hospitalized patients. Over 500,000 patients were treated with CCP during the first year of the pandemic. In this study, we estimated the number of actual inpatient lives saved by CCP treatment in the United States of America based on CCP weekly use, weekly national mortality data, and CCP mortality reduction data from meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials and real-world data. We also estimate the potential number of lives saved if CCP had been deployed for 100% of hospitalized patients or used in 15 to 75% of outpatients. Depending on the assumptions modeled in stratified analyses, we estimated that CCP saved between 16,476 and 66,296 lives. The CCP ideal use might have saved as many as 234,869 lives and prevented 1,136,133 hospitalizations. CCP deployment was a successful strategy for ameliorating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA. This experience has important implications for convalescent plasma use in future infectious disease emergencies.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 SerotherapyImmunization, PassiveSARS-CoV-2HospitalizationHumansPandemicsUnited Statesantibodyconvalescent plasmaCOVID-19mortalitySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID39352932
PMCPMC11474081

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.