Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39363560›Full record

ArticleNursing open2024

Development and Validation of a Nocturnal Hypoglycaemia Risk Model for Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

Chen Gong, Tingting Cai, Ying Wang, Xuelian Xiong, Yunfeng Zhou, Tingting Zhou, Qi Sun, Huiqun Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nursing open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Chen GongDepartment of Nursing, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4260-7735
Tingting CaiSchool of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3473-8412
Ying WangDepartment of Nursing, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Xuelian XiongDepartment of Endocrinology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yunfeng ZhouDepartment of Nursing, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Tingting ZhouSchool of Nursing, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Qi SunDepartment of Nursing, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Huiqun HuangDepartment of Nursing, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

Funding

the Young Funds of Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University 2021ZSQN032
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimTo develop and test different machine learning algorithms for predicting nocturnal hypoglycaemia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

designA retrospective study.

methodsWe collected data from dynamic blood glucose monitoring of patients with T2DM admitted to the Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism at a hospital in Shanghai, China, from November 2020 to January 2022. Patients undergone the continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) for ≥ 24 h were included in this study. Logistic regression, random forest and light gradient boosting machine algorithms were employed, and the models were validated and compared using AUC, accuracy, specificity, recall rate, precision, F1 score and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test.

resultsA total of 4015 continuous glucose-monitoring data points from 440 patients were included, and 28 variables were selected to build the risk prediction model. The 440 patients had an average age of 62.7 years. Approximately 48.2% of the patients were female and 51.8% were male. Nocturnal hypoglycaemia appeared in 573 (14.30%) of 4015 continuous glucose monitoring data. The light gradient boosting machine model demonstrated the highest predictive performances: AUC (0.869), specificity (0.802), accuracy (0.801), precision (0.409), recall rate (0.797), F1 score (0.255) and Kolmogorov (0.603). The selected predictive factors included time below the target glucose range, duration of diabetes, insulin use before bed and dynamic blood glucose monitoring parameters from the previous day. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: No Patient or Public Contribution.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2HypoglycemiaMachine LearningAgedAlgorithmsBlood GlucoseBlood Glucose Self-MonitoringChinaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentBlood Glucosecontinuous glucose monitoringmachine learningnocturnal hypoglycaemiaprediction modeltype 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID39363560
PMCPMC11449968

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.